The End Game for ISIS?
|IMAGE U.S.DEPT. OF DEFENSE (PD)|
The WALL STREET DAILY's Karim
Rahemtulla reported on Friday that sources in
Saudi Arabia told him that ISIS was a doomed
The gist of the report by Karim Rahemtulla based on interviews with knowledgeable people in Iraq and Syria is that ISIS is a doomed organization basically because it threatens its original sponsors. The effect of ISIS on global oil prices appears to be the driver of their undoing in the opinion of the reporter. Oil prices are falling as we write this but that will surely change in coming weeks if ISIS continues to make progress in its conquest of Iraq and towards its most immediate "ultimate target" Saudi Arabia. We agree with the assessment concerning the coming rise in oil prices if ISIS progress isn't curtailed soon. We also agree that Saudi Arabia is on the targeting list and is a high priority but we think the "ultimate" target of the ISIS is Rome. Saudi Arabia is a necessary precursor.
Finally: We are in far more danger now than at any time since Pearl Harbor. Unlike the Cold War we face an enemy who is not influenced by common sense or things like "mutual assured destruction". We must begin preparing for a hard fought victory. We also must get over our aversion to interference in "religious" beliefs when they cause wars and civil strife. We did not hesitate to require the emperor of Japan to renounce his claim to divinity after WWII. If half the Islamic world forces us into a major war we should not hesitate to require every Imam to sign off on a reform package that repudiates the concept of the caliphate, provides for real equality of women, eliminates demands for Sharia law, reforms Sharia law to eliminate all forms of punishment considered cruel or unusual by civilized states. Our occupation forces should regidly enforce these reforms banning the Burka, supporting and protecting schools for women, etc. Anyone under the occupation who commits an "honor killing" or kills someone for apostacy whould be publicly hanged by occupation military police. We defeated the Nazis and Imperial Japan and reformed both nations into responsible states. Germany and Japan had military industrial complexes at the time. The Islamic states produce very little besides oil and mayhem. They have to buy weapons on the global market. They are not a naval power. They will simply run out of "bullets" long before we do. Is Mr. Rahemtulla right? Well in the long run probably, the ISIS is going down, but we don't think the combined resolve of Saudi Arabia and Quatar assures it.