Tuesday, April 2, 2013

4/2/2012 Station Identification and Notice Board


NEWS UPDATE: SALVAGE OF USS GUARDIAN COMPLETED, DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FOR DAMAGED CORAL WILL PEND FOR A WHILE, SHIP CONFIRMED AS CONSTRUCTIVE TOTAL LOSS.     
 http://globalnation.inquirer.net/70661/us-navy-ship-removed-from-tubbataha-reef 

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Barque:  ALEXANDER VON HUMBOLT II, Named for the Oceanographer
Photo by Hans Georg Schroder


TUESDAY APRIL 2, 2013

THE FAR EAST IS TECHNICALLY AT WAR AnD REAL WAR IS ON A HAIR TRIGGER  

 As we started the week North Korea had declared the truce of 1950s over and said a state of war exists.   http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/30/us-korea-north-war-idUSBRE92T00020130330  Yesterday First North, and then South Korea loosed the reins on forces in the field announcing that in field commanders had the authority to strike back forcefully, immediately upon attack from the other side http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/04/01/korea-tensions_n_2991849.html . The probability of miscalculation just sky rocketed. China has sent the blue water capable parts of its navy into the Pacific on exercises, giving the U.S.Navy a more difficult time of tracking them at time when we don't know where the opening shot may come from , difficult to believe that the two dragons aren't coordinating.  http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/771770.shtml#.UVejUxyG1wk    Taiwan is fielding a newer and larger Coast Guard cutter for enforcing her "rights" to Japan's southern most islands. http://www.news.com.au/world-news/taiwan-adds-new-ships-to-patrol-disputed-islands-also-claimed-by-japan-china/story-fndir2ev-1226609625391    It is difficult to imagine that Taiwan isn't coordinating with the dragon, we may have to face guns we supplied to Taiwan.  Meanwhile we are still sitting under Chinese missile batteries aimed at Okinawa.  The weekend closed with the news that the Bear , Russia is helping complicate the China Seas but possibly to our advantage now and chagrin later. Russia is selling Vietnam nini submarines. Vietnam says they will use them to help counter Chinese naval agression. We aren't allied with Vietnam but our allies are targeted by China so anything that causes the Chinese Navy some concern is probably good in the short term. Unfortunately Vietnam and the Philippines also disagree over the ownership of certain islands, so let's hope that the subs that help today aren't part of a later order of battle.  Just yesterday we noted hopefully that these islands aren't the Falklands these places generally aren't inhabited unless the Chinese just moved some soldiers and bureaucrats in. Then later we learned that China is now making a stink over one actually inhabited island, one inhabited by the Vietnamese. See today's blog posting for more details. In the Far East war is on a hair trigger. 


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NEWS OF NAMAZU THE EARTH SHAKER
NAMAZU, giant Japanese catfish former demigod, turned maritime analyst
Namazu is our senior maritime analyst and star commentator, many visitors check in just to see what the giant catfish has to say lately. When he has something new we post it in this space. Other wise his stuff is all over the blog postings and an index is in the INDEX AND FINDING AIDS SECTION
You can just keep scrolling down from today until January 1st when he started his "ADDRESS TO THE ENGLISH SPEAKING WORLD" adding the ever wise catfish voice to the litany of AAB commentators warning of the danger of naval war in the China seas and more recently the threat of  a simultaneous or serial break out in the Korean Peninsular  His most recent postings called for almost preemptive war were it not for his advocating letting China or Korea fire the first shot. Recently we carried a blog post comparing Namazu's predictions with more recent predictions by Wall Street Journal analyst. It seems Wall Street is coming around to the catfish way of thinking. For analysis that is "in depth" you have to read the analyst from the bottom of the sea.
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