Thursday, February 6, 2014

AWESOME TROUT VIDEO

http://vimeo.com/85147880

ATTENTION FLY FISHERMEN!





"Beastie", our Fish Video Editor

Attention all fisher folk you have just gotta see this awesome video of giant trout smacking down damsel flies on and just above surface. I'm especially proud of this video because no fish were killed or injured in its production. But it is mind blowing!

Click Here for the Video: DAMSELS IN DISTRESS

Naval Interest: SINGAPORE AND INDONESIA

Singapore Voices Concern Over Naming of Indonesian Navy Ship

NAVAL INTERESTS: A CONTRARIAN VIEW OF AIRCRAFT CARRIERS

....and an oblique admission that Namazu was right when calling for an English speaking naval union


CONSORTIUM OF "THINK TANKS" WANT TO CUT CARRIERS, BUY MORE SUBMARINES, AND DEPEND ON ALLIES MORE.


Photo: U.S. Navy ,Nimitz Carrier Task  Force
. Several "think tanks" want to cut the number of carrier task forces  (10) by  2 to 4, leaving us with 6 to 8 such tasks forces   
American Admiralty Books Safety & Privacy Policies  
DEFENSENEWS broke the story.

 "WASHINGTON It’s hard to find consensus on most anything in Washington D.C., but four national security-focused think tanks managed to forge something of a rough outline for the future of defense spending.During a briefing held in the Dirksen Senate Office building on Wednesday, a group of well-known budgetary and strategic thinkers from the four think tanks coalesced around a roughly similar set of options for the Pentagon over the next decade: The venerable A-10 attack plane should be retired, along with the U2 spy plane and the F-18C/D models, while the Navy should lose two to four of its current aircraft carriers." (emphasis ours).

 AAB EDITOR'S NOTESThe article also offered the opinion that we should rely more on our allies, something that the Great Namazu has been advocating since he first broke out in print in our pages. However Namazu went a bit farther in proposing a closely co-operative and inter-operative English speaking naval union. This of course implies a closely coordinated foreign policy between and among the the English speaking democracies. 

 With the Obama administration's recent pronouncement that our "special relationship" with Great Britain is no different than "our special relationship with France" which was backing his military attack plans on Syria at the time, while the rest of the English speaking world's governments, the American public, the American Congress, the Pope and our Giant Catfish were all opposed casts a shadow on our real "special relationships" . (see "POPE AND CATFISH  AGREE" )  The present administration while being hyper critical of the prior Bush administration for going it alone too often, doesn't seem to see any advantage in long term, deep alliances with our closest cultural and linguistic democratic "cousins" and doesn't think twice about ignoring their advice.  

 Namazu believes that the English speaking democracies with their shared naval, and democratic traditions, comparable law and common language are uniquely suited to the type of permanent coalition that can not be defeated. The present administration seems to seek out any like minded government de jour for its plans dejour with no thought of our real "special relationships". Thankfully the English speaking governments spoke out as did the American people who retain their natural affection and trust in the other English speaking peoples, and the U.S. Congress; so the U.S. and France did not fire on Syria. In addition to the English speaking peoples two other powerful individual voices rang out in opposition:


Namazu and .....
 File:Pope Francis in March 2013.jpg the pope ... together they represent over 5,000 years of institutional wisdom, Obama only wanted to listen to Obama.

 Below is a quote from the "Defense News" article on what the so called experts had to say about our allies: 

"CSIS also called for selling Littoral Combat Ships and other advanced platforms to allies, while relying on the United Kingdom for some SSBN on-station requirements.The think tank’s David Berteau explained that while “the QDR process historically has been silent on allies,” the current budget realities almost mandate that the United States rely more on allies where it can." read more at: American Admiralty Books Safety & Privacy Policies    DEFENSENEWS

Editors comments: The pope has never claimed any authority in naval strategy so we didn't ask for an interview. But according to Namazu he has been watching naval wars for 3,000 years. So we did talk to him.

NAMAZU ON REDUCING U.S. AIRCRAFT CARRIER TASK FORCES:

  "Bad news bipeds. China is a thug state hell bent on becoming the world's primer naval superpower. You are not going to be able to beat them on the cheap and you must contain them and thwart their ambition or you will be their vassals. I'm talking to you English speaking bipeds including the Indians in particular, and the Japanese, Philippine, Malaysian, and Indonesian peoples as well. You will either all hang together or you will surely hang separately, this Dragon's appetite won't be contained on the cheap. Everybody , not just the United States must step up their naval budgets and expend those budgets wisely to build a communal response force. The United States needs to keep at least ten carrier task forces through the midpoint of the century. Canada, Great Britain, Australia, New Zealand, India, and South Africa all need to contribute to a united submarine effort. You need more direct navy to navy contact and mutual planning for interoperability. At the head of state/head of government levels there has to be more willingness to set aside individual national or national administration foreign policy positions in favor of mutually agreed unified positions. 

 You have three nuclear armed dedicated thug states Russia, China, and North Korea attempting to take from the commons of mankind more than what well codified international law allows. At the moment they are hiding their mailed fists under a velvet glove but when their collective strength exceeds yours that glove will come off. The only peaceful way to avoid that is raise the bar, just as was done in the Cold War. Collectively raise naval power to a point they can't meet without causing their population to suffer such economic privation that they become willing to overthrow the thug regimes. The good news, is that no one cares to invade the thug homelands, the goodies they are trying to steal are at sea, so there is a good chance that the conflict can be limited to a naval arena. More over all three thug powers are in fact entitled to large exclusive economic zones so its not like we have to run them from the sea and make them go home empty handed. There are lots of face savings options for the thug states at any point that they decide to stay within international law.

 The English speaking world has the naval lead at the moment. It is the Dragon, the Bear , and the Lunatic who have to catch up. Remember they are highly unlikely to find any additional official nation state allies, and they really don't get along that well with each other. There is a real chance, if the English speaking peoples and their regional allies and friends in the Pacific , Indian , Arctic Ocean Basins will set their priorities straight in order to bite the naval bullet; that this dispute can be won without firing a shot. Interestingly it is the Japanese, Philippine, Malaysian, Indonesian, and Indian tax payers who are leading the way by demonstrating a willingness to sacrifice for the sake of naval strength.. Wake up English speaking bipeds, get behind your friends! Are you going to wait for the Dragon to arrive at the sea buoy at Sydney, and Pearl Harbour?  The playground bully only plays well with others when someone bigger who is likely to respond to his aggression is about.

EDITOR'S NOTE:  The "bipeds" hereabouts as Namazu likes to refer to us are all old sailors who typically believe in the conventional wisdom that the Air Craft carrier is the capital ship of the day and probably will be for another fifty years. Yet our knowledge of naval history informs us that every capital ship from the galley to the battle ship eventually was eclipsed by the march of technology. We just don't see it yet happening for the carriers and we have slowly and a bit grudgingly  come to respect "Catfish Wisdom". As an organization the AAB and its parent the AAIS back the catfish on this one. "Experts" be damned keep the carriers and improve our own anti access plans so we can move the carriers closer to their objectives despite the development of shore based counter weapons.

Johnas Presbyter, editor

American Admiralty Books Safety & Privacy Policies  
                             
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 AMAZON ANYTIME GIFT CARDS

Wednesday, February 5, 2014

NAMAZU GAINS NEW CONTRACT AND CREATIVE CONTROL

11/9/2012 NAMAZU Suggestions   Editor's note: Yesterday we mentioned in a post by Namazu (....experts  agree...) a controversy that he became embroiled in when his career as an analyst was just starting and we promised to republish the explanation of that event for our newer readers. Here is the story of how the Great Catfish wrested creative control of his posts from the editorial board. Updated 6/22/2017

NAMAZU STIRS UP CONTROVERSY WITH AMERICAN ADMIRALTY BOOKS BOARD OF DIRECTORS.  EDITOR JOHNAS PREBYTER CALLED ON THE CARPET. NAMAZU "SUGGESTION " PULLED FROM PUBLICATION BUT THE CATFISH WINS NEAR TOTAL CREATIVE CONTROL OF POSTS.


Namazu the Earth Shaker , Newly Hired AAB Analyst,  Gets Editor in Hot Water
                       You can scroll past this post to read NAMAZU FULLY LOADED

After reading and approving for release ""NAMAZU FULLY LOADED : AMERICA'S" FUTURE, Editor Johnas Prebyter asked the author for some suggested readings. The giant catfish "force of nature personified", a title we learned he prefers to "former Japanese giant catfish demigod" gave the editor two titles that he felt would help readers understand and confirm his opinions, predictions, and warnings that were contained in his two part post published right after the Presidential election. Prebyter posted both "suggested readings" immediately after the post. Unfortunately one was a special oil industry insider advice sheet retailing for $4,500 per down load.  Prebyter published both "suggested readings" with only a minor disclaimer concerning the price of the first "suggested reading". Alarm bells went off in the weekly directors meeting.

 The directors felt that given the price of the suggested data that Prebyter failed to post a sufficient disclaimer with the title, and most especially failed to draw the distinction between an American Admiralty Books "Recommended" publication that has gone through the corporate review process and a mere suggestion  by the author of a particular post. It was felt that the on line book store could not afford to purchase data as expensive $4,500 per down load for their traditional review. A resolution was passed that in the future American Admiralty Books will not allow any authors to suggest publications or salable data of any sort the retail price of which would put it beyond the range that any director would consider for his or her personal or professional library acquisition. They required Prebyter to pull the hyperlink to the expensive document and to write a new disclaimer. It was noted that the disclaimer was to insure that the public understood that the published work was being removed only because its price put it out of the range of publications that the book store could evaluate, and was not a judgement on the work's content, or the potential utility of the content to the reader. 

 The board then turned their attention to the posts of the Great Catfish in the little over a week since he was hired by Prebyter. It was noted that, in that week Namazu had managed to insult Al Gore and respond to criticism from the religious right. He also managed to chide Rush Limbeaugh, suggest an investigation of Senator John McCane, issue a negative criticism of the Coast Guard's equipment approval process and policies,  compliment actor Kevin Costner on his oil spill recovery invention , and accuse Barrack Obama of tap dancing on the line between sharp political practice and corruption involving some LNG plant and oil drilling permits. It was decided to confront the "Earth Shaker" as he is nicknamed on the hydrophones. 


 Namazu readily agreed to American Admiralty control of book suggestions based on price. However he refused to take back, tone down, or go easy on "any mere mortal with a big title and a small brain".
In the end Namazu threatened to resign and take his new following with him to another part of the Internet if the board didn't agree to amend his contract and grant him "complete creative control." The deal was struck and both Prebyter and Namazu retain their jobs and Namazu has complete creative control of all products under his byline. 

 Meanwhile visitors to the the blog have been  clicking on Namazu Fully Loaded: The Future of America. day and night for two days and counting. Prebyter has decided to continue to position the post  near the top of the blog (Editor's note: Back in 2012). Namazu is off in the Sea of Japan doing research on his next post which will get back to coastal environmental issues. This Catfish is a new voice on the Internet, an interesting, and certainly politically incorrect voice.



AN EXPLANATION OF THE LEGAL CONCEPT OF THE "COMMONS" AS IT APPLIES AT SEA

File:Brandeisl.jpg Updated 12/18/2015    Hi Louis Brandeis here. As a contributor to the AAB's  ADMIRALTY LAW section I was recently asked to explain such concepts as the territorial sea as contrasted with international waters, and other aspects of the oceans as a "commons'. However when I started my research I discovered that the Great Namazu had once addressed this issue. His article, particularly his title is much more attention getting than any staid legal tract I might construct. Who would think that a giant catfish would "get", as you moderns are wont to say, a concept like the law of commons so well. So instead of writing  new tract on the subject I'm pleased to introduce lawyer and layman alike to the law of the ocean commons as explained by the Great Namazu: After this re-posting to the blog space we'll find a permanent home for this essay in the admiralty law section. -JB  (Editors note: If you didn't catch his introduction a few weeks ago you may be wondering how we came to hire a dead U.S. Supreme Court Justice as a legal analyst.
For an explanation click :   ( Introd uction to our new legal correspondent)



Namazu on the "Commons"


Namazu, Giant Japanese Catfish and Former Demigod, now Coastal Environmental Analyst and Social Commentator for American Admiralty Books


             LEARN TO SHARE THE COMMONS OR DIE


My Dear Bipeds:

 The headline above in red is not meant as a threat from a catfish the size of Japan. It is the warning of a friend of the inevitable results of collective human misconduct. Believe me I know about the power for both good and evil of the collective human intelligence on this planet. I was literally created by a regional human collective intelligence as a dragon demigod, then morphed into the giant catfish I am today by a change in that same collective intelligence. 

 Not long ago through the initial efforts of some writers, artists, and singers I came to the attention of a larger more diverse human intelligence collective and morphed into a "personification of natural forces". I am of course, merely a personification of the same old natural forces the contemplation of which by a collective biped intelligence gave rise to my first incarnations as a demigod. Now through perception of me as a "personification" the same forces of nature that I represent are now seen absent of malice, despite their innate destructive potential. Obviously as a creature of the collective biped intelligence I have a vested interest in seeing that it is not wiped from the face of the earth. There seems to be only one power capable of that sad destruction and that is a human collective intelligence bent on destruction, such as a "thug State".

 Here is my observation in a nut shell. If you bipeds don't learn to effectively and productively manage all the resources that you hold in common, you will soon start killing each other over them big time. If you ever get finished with the idea of killing each other over ideas like economic theories and religions you will still be staring the threats that come from mismanagement of the commons. This mismanagement leads to war over very real resources and wealth. At sea the problem is, and has been, determining exactly what is held in common by "all mankind" and what belongs to adjacent coastal states. You must collectively master this or soon you will again be littering my seafloor living room with the bodies of your sailors and the war probably won't be confined to the sea.

 Actually you've made some progress in such a determination. Unfortunately not all biped intelligence collectives are willing to abide by the existing and agreed definitions. The "commons of mankind" which we former demigods simply refer to as the "biped commons" consists of the solar system, where, by international agreement, no territorial claims can be made. The commons also includes the atmosphere which moves at will across international borders carrying weather and pollutants in all directions that the wind blows. The "commons" also includes the electromagnetic spectrum where among other things "cyber space" partially exists. Telecommunications also utilize the electromagnetic spectrum. There seems to be little disagreement that the electromagnetic spectrum is part of the commons and there have been many successful attempts at regulating its use in terms of nation state usage. But there are problems of piracy and lawlessness in this spectrum of the "commons" just as there are at sea. But most of the bad apples are individuals or gangs of law breakers mostly recognized as such by the "community of nations".

 The "world ocean" is where the consensus breaks down and the bad actors are all too often as much "thug states" as pirates and outlaws.By agreement, based on practicality, not all of the oceans are in the "commons".  Those portions of the World Ocean that are in the international "commons" require some regulation and policing on behalf of mankind and much of the services related to that policing and regulation have been delegated by the international community to the "adjacent coastal states" in a system that might be called "graduated sovereignty". The problems arise when thug states abuse the system to claim parts of the commons or proprietary parts of neighboring state's waters (As is the case with the swimming dragon so often spoken of in this blog space). 

 Alternatively sometimes powerful political actors in otherwise law abiding states convince national governments to turn a blind eye to the spirit of the law when the letter of international law appears to give these special interests a loop hole to rob the commons (The Rising Sun and Whaling). Finally those parts of the world ocean that are not part of the international commons are generally part of a national commons where again politically powerful private interests, some of international origin, often take national governments for a ride (the inability or unwillingness of the USCG and CBP to enforce the Jones Act on the  American OCS). So the first step in understanding what is in the "international commons" and what is in someone's "national commons" is understanding this concept of "graduated sovereignty". So, here in  this essay I'll do my best to explain the concept. My explanation is not dependent on the current "Law of the Sea Convention", which everyone , particularly the United States has not signed. As far as I can determine nothing in my explanation is contrary to the provisions of the current convention, but these broad underlying principals that I am about to explain pre-date the convention and are not dependent upon it for force. Even the non signatory nations relative to the present convention have agreed to the following precepts for a long time.

 THE TERRITORIAL SEA IS NOT IN THE INTERNATIONAL COMMONS BUT EVEN THERE IMPORTANT SERVITUDES APPLICABLE TO THE SHIPPING OF ALL NATIONS ARE RECOGNIZED . 

 The "territorial sea" is a term in international law that denotes portions of the ocean under the legal control of the adjacent coastal state. The "territorial sea" is distinguished from the "high seas" and "internal waters" . The "high seas" are those portions of the oceans not under the control of any individual nation state and subject to international law. "Internal waters" are those waters of the adjacent coastal state inland from the headlands or breakwaters. The "territorial sea" is physically part of the ocean. The sovereignty exercised by the adjacent coastal state over the territorial sea is tempered by several recognized servitudes in international law based on the connection between the high seas and the territorial sea and the realities of surface navigation. The most important of these servitudes is the right of innocent passage.

 China which in this blog is often referred to as "the dragon" utilizes this servitude to its advantage in the non violent aspects of its attempted appropriation of the China Sea right up to nearly the beach lines of Vietnam, the Philippines, and Japan. Chinese vessels take up station in the international waters of the China Sea and radio transiting merchant vessels their identity and official status. They "welcome" these "innocent transits" to "China's territorial sea" and announce that they will be "escorting them" while they are "visiting". Of course if such shipping which is in fact on the high seas and entitled to unrestricted passage were actually in China's territorial seas bound for elsewhere they would still have the right of innocent passage. The net result is that most often the merchant ships ignore the Chinese ship and continues its intended course and speed since even if the claim had any validity it wouldn't change the ships basic right to proceed exactly as intended. The dragon ship then runs a parallel course for a while at a safe distance off and then usually radios a "farewell and safe voyage" message at some point completing its bogus "escort". The entire purpose of this charade is to build witnesses among the world professional merchant mariner community of "effective administration" by China over this portion of the ocean where they have no real rights of administration what so ever.

 The reason that China can not claim the entire ocean out to what they call "the first island chain" is that the breadth of the territorial sea has always been strictly limited. For centuries the limit of the territorial sea was set at three miles from the shore. This was roughly the range of a smooth bore cannon shot. The rule was thought to prevent the taking of war prizes from under the cannon of neutral coastal fortifications. Over the centuries the rule was slowly recognized as impractical. The rule today sanctioned in the latest International Convention on the Law of The Sea is that the territorial sea extends twelve miles out from the shoreline of the adjacent coastal state, unless that distance encroaches on the waters of another state. In those circumstances the exact boundary must be established by bilateral treaty. While the United States has still not signed off on the convention the twelve mile limit to territorial seas is recognized by the Presidential proclamation of  December 28, 1988 (Presidential Proclamation No. 5928, Federal Register Mon. Jan.9, 1989 vol. 54 #5 page 777. )

 In establishing the 12 mile rule territorial sea limit the international community abandoned the concept of basing the limit on the range of land based coastal defense weapons. Today defense considerations are dealt with through air and surface/subsurface defense zones. These zones may vary in distance from the shore and may change from time to time by unilateral declaration of the adjacent coastal state. However these zones apply only to the right to take defensive action against hostile aircraft or ships of declared belligerence, or upon "due cause" to suspect such belligerent intent. Commercial traffic both merchant marine, and air line are generally unaffected by such zones. There have been some notable errors within such zones by Russia, China, and Korea resulting in massive loss of civilian life on innocent passage. None of these thug states have apologized or made reparations. The United States accidentally shot down an Iranian airliner not in our own domestic air defense zone but in a war zone. The airliner was not "squawking" the commercial identity signal but none the less the U.S. apologized and paid reparations for the incident. The system isn't perfect but it seems to work most of the time, and works best with law abiding states, pretty much the case with any type of biped made law. Before the adoption of the 12 mile territorial sea limit and the addressing of other adjacent coastal state concerns through more limited servitude there were quite a few states attempting to enforce 200 mile territorial seas. A few still do. You bipeds live on a very complex planet and have evolved very complex societies, but far too many of you seem only to be able to follow very simple legal rules. The thug states recognize only one rule "might makes right" and that is the reason for such concern over the commons. 

 To the catfish mind which tends to go deep (pardon the pun), it seems that if there is any kind of galactic legal regime it is a good thing that manned space flight is presently on such a slow development course. If the earthly bipeds can't manage to govern their planetary commons there will probably be a forceful intervention before you are really allowed out into the cosmic commons.

 Within the territorial sea the adjacent coastal state is as sovereign as it is within its' own territory subject to only one international servitude , the right of innocent passage. Vessels of all nations not at war with the adjacent coastal state may enter the territorial sea without special permission to use aids to navigation or to pass through to nearby destinations outside of the jurisdiction of the adjacent coastal state. While within the territorial sea all such vessels on innocent passage must conform to all of the international navigational safety laws and observe the anti pollution statutes of the adjacent coastal state. All submarines must transit on the surface.

 Beyond the twelve mile territorial sea adjacent coastal states have other interests and responsibilities but these are limited, and mostly are of the nature of a servitude granted by the international community to the adjacent state. The exercise of such servitudes are contingent upon compliance with enumerated conditions. Lets look at some of these zones beyond the twelve mile territorial sea.

 Beyond the territorial sea is a zone that is recognized by many nations known in U.S. law as the Contiguous zoneWithin this zone the customs and border control forces of the adjacent coastal state may stop, board and search any vessel that it has probable cause to suspect such vessel of violating or intending to violate the customs laws of the adjacent coastal state. Commonly accepted evidence of such illegal activity may include "hoovering behavior", contact with small craft from shore,and  intercepted radio transmissions or other signals indicative of illegal behavior.
Absent "probable cause" customs and border control forces have no jurisdiction over commercial surface traffic in this zone.

 With the discovery of offshore oil the adjacent coastal states began to claim conflicting rights to the mineral and other natural resources of the sea floor. The first  global biped attempt to deal with the issues related to sea floor rights was the International Convention on the Outer Continental Shelves. The U.S. did sign this convention and gave it the force of domestic law by way of the Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act (43 USC 1331-1356). This international system of law grants to the adjacent coastal state an exclusive right for the mining of subsurface minerals and the harvesting of benthic (bottom dwelling) fisheries. Originally this right extended to the perceived limits of the outer continental shelf or about 200 miles from shore. Within that zone only the adjacent coastal state could establish mineral extractive platforms or semi permanently moored mineral extractive vessels.
These structures and vessels on the surface had to conform to International Light House Authority standards for obstruction marking and lighting and had to be reported to all charting authorities. Nothing in the exclusive OCS rights allowed an adjacent coastal state to interfere with the operation of surface transportation by any nation. In the event that the OCS waters as described in the international convention were in conflict with a local situation of uncertain boundaries, or the straits between nations were narrower than 200 miles the OCS waters were to be determined by bilateral treaty or international arbitration. 

 Eventually improved subsurface geological research techniques led to expanded claims by some nations based on language in the original OCS convention to claims beyond 200 miles from the adjacent coastal state's shore line. For example Russia claims the entire arctic ocean floor to within about twelve miles of Canada and the U.S., Iceland, Greenland, Norway and others as part of the Russian outer Continental Shelf. No one recognizes this claim yet nor has the science been peer reviewed. Similar situations resulted in the evolution of an international concept that has largely folded in and expanded on the OCS concept.

 The post OCS concept of international sea bottom rights is referred to as the Exclusive Economic Zone or EEZ. Exclusive Economic Zones are recognized by most coastal states and are expressly described in the latest International Convention on the Law of Sea, which the United States did not sign. However the U.S. actually coined the term and described the concept in the Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act(43 USC 1331-1356). The concept of the EEZ is that a nation's exclusive mineral rights and benthic fisheries rights might extend past the usual 200 miles if there is scientific evidence that the continental shelf extends beyond the traditional limit. 

 The international commons is not the only ocean related commons. When the Presidential proclamation extending the U.S. Territorial Sea to twelve miles from shore was published, the wording stated that the extension was for international purposes only . Nothing in the Proclamation was intended to affect or extend geographic application of the then current U.S. domestic law. Consequently state, as opposed to Federal water bottoms , with their associated mineral rights remain as fixed prior to December 28, 1988, the date of the proclamation.So just as the international commons of the "High Seas" has a boundary separating it from the national commons of the Territorial Sea within the territorial sea of many larger nations there are state or provincial waters forming a commons belonging to a more localized population than the entire nation. All of these commons are supposed to be administered in trust for the various Holders in Common. The Holders in Common of these places and waters are the people of the World for the High Seas, the population of the adjacent coastal state for those parts of the Territorial Sea not under the jurisdiction of a smaller political subdivision of the state. Unfortunately in fact all such commons appear to be constantly under threat of misappropriation.   

 In Louisiana as I write this, the public has finally become aware of a scam by three previous and now long dead governors to skim the public oil revenues from the state commons where oil is found within three miles from shore. Not only did three successive governors in the 1930s skim millions from the revenues derived from the state's commons, their heirs continue to do so. This rip off has been going on for so long that the heirs feel entitled and some judges are reluctant to disturb the arrangement. Theft, continued over time can seem legitimate after a while. And this is true with China which simply covets its neighbor's property and the potential revenues from the international commons. But by making its claim long enough, and loud enough, and visibly enough, coupled with a very thinly gloved mailed fist in a few more years even some of the defending adjacent coastal states may start to believe the groundless claims. Its all the same, what belongs to everyone soon seems to belong to no one and then the strong begin to claim it.

 Bipeds, you can't go on living this way. After 5,000 years of the evolution of Western Civilization , western legal views relative to the "Freedoms of the Seas" prevail and are recognized. But thug states like China or delusional states like Argentina, or fanatical states like Iran, or failed states like Somalia find complex regimes like "graduated sovereignty"  too complex and simply start to grab what so few really understand as collectively theirs. But by permitting them to play these games so close to acts of war you are doomed to have them step over the line at some point. The Philippines are drawing closer to Japan and a few weeks ago announced their support for the rearming of Japan. 

 There are still plenty citizens of the Philippines who have first hand memories of the brutal Japanese occupation. Yet the behavior of the dragon is more threatening than the idea of a militarily resurgent Japan. If China persists in their lack of respect and understanding of the international law of the sea eventually they will come to blows with Japan or the Philippines or both and by treaty obligations the United States will become involved as well. War between the United States and China spells the immediate financial ruin of China and an over night massive loss to many personal fortunes in the United States, as well as major hardship and inconvenience. We then have two ruined states armed to the teeth with nuclear weapons facing off in extreme anger. The commons is a difficult concept to get a biped mind around. But if you fail the entire planet could become a glow in the dark parking lot. This is why the article is simply titled  "LEARN TO SHARE THE COMMONS OR DIE" that is in fact the only choice.

Namazu
American Admiralty Books Safety & Privacy Policies                                                  
AMAZON SHOP CONNECT ENJOY FROM ALL THE EARTH'S COLLECTIONS

NEWS FLASH: THE PANAMA CANAL EXPANSION PROGRAM GOES OFF TRACK

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/02/05/sacyr-panama-idUKL5N0LA13E20140205

NEWS FLASH: FOR THE HOME PAGE OR THE DAILY BLOG POSTS SCROLL DOWN. FOR THE SPECIAL INTEREST PAGES CLICK ON YOUR CHOICE TO THE RIGHT.

PANAMA CANAL EXPANSION CONTRACT DISPUTE

Image: CIA WORLD FACT BOOK


                                                                             
                                                           Image:Wikipedia Commons (PD) by  Biberbaer   

 According to a story carried by Retuer's recently the contract for the anticipated expansion of the Panama canal has gone off track. The U.S. has a big stake in this expansion which would allow larger LNG carriers to reach the Gulf South for LNG export cargos for Asian markets. Additionally a number of  U.S. East Coast and Gulf Ports have already expended millions of dollars on improvements that would allow them to handle larger container ships. Unfortunately , the Panama Canal is no longer owned or operated by the United States nor does it appear that the U.S. is a major component in the expansion project or contract.

"The Panama Canal expansion project (also called the Third Set of Locks Project) is intended to double the capacity of the Panama Canal by 2015 by creating a new lane of traffic and allowing more and larger ships to transit.
The project will:
  • Build two new locks, one each on the Atlantic and Pacific sides. Each will have three chambers with water-saving basins.
  • Excavate new channels to the new locks.
  • Widen and deepen existing channels.
  • Raise the maximum operating level of Gatun Lake.[1]"
  • READ MORE:  "ASK.COM"......"

The Expansion project contract is an agreement between the Panama Canal Authority (PCA), an administration of the Panamanian government and various companies mostly of Spanish and Italian origin. the PCA recently failed to meet a $50,000,000 interim invoice causing wages to go unpaid and construction has stopped. In all it appears that the project will run $1.6 billion in additional costs. The Canal was built by the United States in 1914 , and underwent over $1 billion in improvements before handing it over to Panama in 1999. Panama almost immediately selected a Chinese operating company as daily operations contractor. 
U.S. Gulf Coast and East Coast ports will be the primary beneficiary of the expansion project in terms of increased exports and imports. China and Panama will make the direct revenue in terms of increased toll revenue from larger tolls for larger ships and general traffic. But China may not want to foot the bill for the expansion. Nicaragua has signed an exclusive contract with China to build a competitive canal.   
So as usual China is in the driver's seat. The Dragon benefits from the Panama Canal expansion but probably won't pay for it, increasing its revenues from control of the Atlantic and Pacific connection while their own canal is under construction.  If the Dragon plays its cards right it can operate the Panama canal as an auxiliary and stand by resource once its own canal is built, semi starving it for revenues in favor of the greater revenues of its own canal. If Nicaragua thinks it will ever own, or even control the canal that will cut through its territory it doesn't know the Dragon. This entire situation by the way was the direct result of decisions made by President Jimmie Carter to relinquish to Panama the canal we built and paid for virtually without conditions. 

 To read an article with the full details of the present contract disagreement click here: Reuters  

                                              
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Tuesday, February 4, 2014

TWO YEARS AFTER PUBLICATION BIPED EXPERTS WERE STARTING TO AGREE

THE GREAT NAMAZU WAS RIGHT....BUT THEN YOU KNEW THAT

NAMAZU, 3,0000 YEAR OLD GIANT CATFISH ANALYST AND COMMENTATOR
Updated 3/24/2018

 When Namazu first appeared in our pages we agreed to publish his epic "NAMAZU FULLY LOADED , THE FUTURE OF AMERICA.  (and Part 2)This was nearly four years ago and the post is still controversial. In that post Namazu made a prediction of a coming energy boom in America based on new on shore natural gas and oil discoveries. He also noted that government ineptitude (during the Obama administration) at the federal level would slow the salubrious effects of this switch to being an energy exporter and cause a great deal of economic pain for the general populace. However, he predicted that the nation would eventually reap the benefit despite the government's ineptitude and that whoever was in office at the time would claim credit. 

 Unfortunately he also noted that some years hence around mid century America would face a new crisis as several technologies such as 3D printing, nano technology, and artificial intelligence continued to merge allowing more and more wealth in the form of manufactured goods, transport, and even many services to be produced with fewer and fewer humans. He noted that we are approaching a time perhaps 50 years out when it will be simply impossible to keep anything like 80% of the population gainfully employed and it will continue to worsen.

 The Great Catfish asked the question that no one is asking yet. What is the alternative to our system that since the time of Capt. John Smith has been based more or less on the philosophy that "he who doesn't work, doesn't eat"?  When technology makes it possible to produce great wealth but uneconomic to employ very many humans ("bipeds" as Namazu likes to call us) the Great Catfish could foresee only two possibilities. If the system of connecting an adequate amount of the medium of exchange (known today as money) remains solely connected to gainful employment; the ever shrinking population of the gainfully employed will have to form walled communities to protect themselves from the starving masses. Unfortunately with the mass of people unable to purchase the ever increasing product of the gainfully employed and the machines and computers the massive production goes unsold and the entire system collapses. 

 The only alternative that Namazu could foresee to this collapse would be a constant though gradual expansion of  what we now call the social safety net and employment security law. By mid century he predicts that we have to be able to accommodate more than 20% of population being unemployed and even more being chronically under employed, or only sporadically employed. Namazu noted the probable social consequences of even well supported great masses of people being idle. His proposal was for the government to early on concentrate on the reform of employment law to make sporadic employment mixed with occupational study economically viable. Some of the features of the Namazu plan have been in place in many EU nations for years. First longer vacations are mandated at least 30 days for full time workers, more with seniority. This increases the need for temporary replacements provided by the sporadically employed. Education and occupational training at all levels would be not only free but adults over 21 would receive moderate stipends while doing anything from continuing education courses , to voc tech retraining, to post graduate school. The basic requirement for a worker /student to benefit from these laws would be occupational consistency or involuntary career change.

 So basically if one looks closely at the prediction of the Great Catfish we see that he sees an American  economy that runs in cycles of perhaps 30 to 50 years alternating between upheaval and emergence of new forms. At the time NAMAZU FULLY LOADED , THE FUTURE OF AMERICA.  (Part 2)  was written the Obama White House was with holding permits allowing America's now mostly idled  liquefied natural gas terminals to reverse engineer from import operations to export operations. To this day billions are being spent on "alternative energy" but the most promising forms of alternative energy which are not solar photo-voltaic panels, wind farms, etc., but "drop in technologies" such as solar stationary engineering which simply converts solar energy into heat to produce steam to drive already existing turbines are ignored. Sometimes it seems that the promising and immediately available "drop in technologies" are ignored because they do not require the scrapping of our existing infrastructure but can be simply plugged in to the existing generation and distribution infrastructures and within their existing industrial site foot prints. It would seem the Obama  administration insisted in terms of RD & D money and policy decisions that the nation must go off the fossil fuel diet despite our new abundance of such fuels and scrap the entire existing electrical generation and distribution net work regardless of economic consequences. And we all better get into solar electric cars whether the technology is ready or not. The attitude of the Obama administration and the "Deep State" towards energy policy is REVOLUTION NOT EVOLUTION. Unfortunately, for the bulk of the people, evolutionary change for the better is much less painful than revolution.

 So now four years later our researchers are starting to pick up a trend among some economic writers to talk of factors such as "economic gravity" and 40 year economic revolutionary cycles. Sounds a lot like our catfish doesn't it? Recently there have even been some revelations on the national television news of late of the fact that we are on the cusp of becoming perhaps the largest energy exporting nation. And a couple of years ago week we received our print copy of the highly respected WorkBoat magazine and lo and behold on page 16 in the column of Kevin Horn titled "Inland Insider" which deals with the economics of America's inland barge services we find this quote:

 "The next 40 years of energy in the U.S. will be very different from the last 4o. The positive changes are only beginning, including for the barge industry."

 Well it seems more and more "biped" experts are developing the Catfish perspective. We have about 200,000 more readers now than we had when the Namazu first published these economic predictions. Those of you who were regular visitors from the beginning may recall the hot water that both Namazu and I got into shortly after he was hired, with our Directors. I have to admit to having my differences with his "Supreme Cat Fishness" but time has convinced me that my original decision to hire him as an analyst and the director's controversial and much debated decision to give him unfettered creative control were spot on. We suggest for those of you who are relatively new to the blog to check the post on the controversy that followed the original publication of NAMAZU FULLY LOADED , THE FUTURE OF AMERICA.  (Part 2)

Johnas Presbyter, Editor