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                     JUNE 6TH...The Longest Day                                                  

        Today, Saturday Jun 6, 2020 is another anniversary of "D day". A Day that changed the world for the positive.The operations were better known on the day of their occurrence as the " Normandy landings" and  were the landing operations and associated airborne operations on Tuesday, 6 June 1944 of the Allied invasion of Normandy in Operation Overlord during World War II. Codenamed "Operation Neptune" and often referred to as "D-Day" these naval landings and airborne operations were the largest seaborne invasion in history. The operation began the liberation of German-occupied France (and later western Europe) and laid the foundations of the Allied victory on the Western Front. (Links above to WIKIPEDIA) 

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Click on:    SITE GUIDE AND INDEX then scroll down. 

http://americanadmiraltybooks.blogspot.com/p/index-and-site-guide.html

                                  

1.  To reach the latest daily posts simply scroll down

2. The list of Special interest pages to your right are direct links, simply click on any page of interest. Once there simply scroll down or use the various internal and external links provided

3. NEW VISITOR?  Click here for a short video explaining our purpose and mission, a basic site guide, short cuts etc.   INTRODUCTION

4. Looking for maritime links? We link to maritime information sites throughout the special interest pages based on the special interest subject. But we also have an indexed collection of most of the world's English language maritime web sites. Click here: THE BIG LINKS LOCKER

5.   Looking for past essays by the our top analyst, Namazu, former Japanese Giant Catfish demigod. His stuff is spread all over the blog but we are building an archive so you might want to check there first: EVERYTHING NAMAZU

6. We've been following the aggressive actions of the Chinese Navy and Coast Guard for nearly two years now. We are working on an archive for those posts as well: How Far Will The Dragon Swim?

7. On line books?  We have a growing collection for reading on line or use as a reference: Our authoritative literature section is where we are editing, up dating and posting the entire collection of American Admiralty Bureau Guide and Commentators, references that should prove vital to admiralty lawyers working with expert witnesses. This is an on going project but about four complete volumes are on line now: After you enter the Authoritative literature page simply scroll down to the start of the American Admiralty Bureau Guides and Commentators.

AUTHORITATIVE LITERATURE INCLUDING AAB PUBS.  We also have our popular serial posts on the parallels between space exploration and the earlier age of maritime exploration originally published as a serial blog post under the continuing title "SPACE AS AN OCEAN" and now posted as an E-Book in Progress titled PROTOCOLS: Click into our MARITIME LITERATURE page and scroll down until you see the words "E Book In Progress". Then you may continue to scroll down to read as many of the essays as you like. Each one is complete in and of its self so you could red the entire collection painlessly by reading just one a day, about five thought provoking minutes. To view the essays click here: MARITIME LITERATURE, Including PROTOCOLS. We also have in our MERCHANT MARINE INTEREST SECTION the National Mariner's Association book: BLOOD ON BROWN WATER. Just enter the MERCHANT MARINE INTEREST SECTION and scroll down:  MERCHANT MARINE INTEREST:  "BLOOD ON BROWN WATER"

8. Book Reviews: Are sorted via the special interest pages, just click on any of the special interest pages in the column margin to your right to select a subject area. Book reviews are spread throughout each section along with links to free videos on the pertinent subject, links to specialized web sites on the subject etc. Each book review will have a link to a site where you can obtain additional information or possibly purchase the book. If you are interested in a library loan look for the International Book Binding Number (ISBN) either in our review or at the linked site. The ISBN number is a big aid when your librarian has to arrange an inter library loan.

9. Need Boat Building Plans? Links to designers with building plans are in the BOAT BUILDING section.  BOAT BUILDING SECTION

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CHINA'S SECOND C-19 BREAKOUT

China’s New COVID-19 Outbreak Is in "Harbin" Which Also Has BSL-4 Biolab

The Wuhan National Bio-safety BSL-4 lab became operational in 2018, less than two years prior to the COVID-19 outbreak, after being certified as meeting the standards and criteria of BSL-4 by the China National Accreditation Service for Conformity Assessment (CNAS). The Harbin BSL-4 biolab is reportedly currently awaiting accreditation by CNAS. As noted in  Nature "BSL-4 is the highest level of BIO-CONTAINMENT: its criteria include filtering air and treating water and waste before they leave the laboratory, and stipulating that researchers change clothes and shower before and after using lab facilities. THE chinese expect to build  about 5 to 7 0f these labs and despite mounting EVIDENCE that the C-19 virus originated from a containment failure in the Whuhan lab China still refuses to allow international inspection. 

According to Nature, two more BSL-4 labs are expected to be created in Beijing and Kunming.  These labs are planned as part of a network of between five and seven labs throughout China. Few nations have even one such lab and only international inspection is convincing that such labs are not bio-weapon development labs. The fact that the C-19 virus doesn't appear to be altered has no bearing on whether or not it was intended as a bio weapon. It has put some of our warships in the Pacific Fleet out of operational status for a protracted period. It has devastated all Western economies and has the added advantage of plausible denial. ( China: Its not weaponized and we don't know how it got out into the population starting two blocks from the Wuhan lab). Now we are picking up tentative reports from Western intelligence that there is a sudden appearance of a C-19 "hot spot"near the evolving new lab in Harbin.  We have noted before, the expansion of BSL-4 biolabs in China is a concern because of China’s history of lab leaks. The SARS virus escaped from other high-level (BSL-3) containment facilities in Beijing multiple times before, notes Richard Ebright, a molecular biologist at Rutgers University, in Nature. Ebright is also not convinced of the need for more than one BSL-4 lab in mainland China.

Ebright also worries that the large planned expansion of BSL-4 labs in China and its excess capacity can be used for the potential development of bio-weapons.So AAB is not alone in this concern. 

As explained in AAN previously (American Action News), “These facilities are inherently dual use,” Ebright says, referring to the labs being able to be used for both civilian and military purposes. Other analysts have also expressed their concerns these labs could be part of a greater covert bio-weapons research program. Meanwhile China is still in a state of denial over the second break out in Harbin and is not sharing any reliable information with the West. Interesting to note:Just in time for the Whaun and Harbin break outs China has enough medical protection gear to cover their own needs and export to the US most of the masks, impermeable gloves, and coveralls that the US so desperately needs. Think about it.



Did the Dragon Bring us this?

BOOK REVIEW ,FUTURE WAR IN SPACE

THE FIRST SPACE WAR by J. Furman and T. K. Rogers.

 We looked at "future wars in space" in our analytic post on the new SPACE FORCE. Much like the U.S. Air Force out of which the Space Force is evolving we saw the first military engagements in space to be in support of military operations on earth. But we also predicted many mission additions over the coming decade that would require more manned efforts in space by the newly formed SPACE FORCE. China has declared its intention of being dominant in space and to dominate the global space industry by mid century. The most worrisome issue with this ambition of the Dragon is the fact that China does not see the solar system as part of the commons of mankind but fully intends to make territorial claims. We predicted this behavior not only on the Dragon's public declarations but also on their observable behavior in the commons of the seas.  (SEE: THE DRAGON IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND OUTER SPACE. Our view of "War" in Space looked much like this:  Actions between remotely controlled weaponized satellites aimed at disrupting or destroying enemy space capabilities useful on the battle grounds of Earth. The "war" in space that Daniel and Rogers write about is speculative , set well past the mid century mark that we explored and would look more like this :

We find the type of writing found in THE FIRST SPACE WAR to not fit just right into science fiction, or science fantasy. It delivers its warnings about possible future events through a fictional narrative but the back ground science is rock solid. We won't quibble about the title for in actuality, in fact,  our view of a potential mid century "war" is really a space theater of operations in war between earth bound peer powers over earth issues and resources. Set more than century into the future beyond our field view "THE FIRST SPACE WAR" is about a real war in our solar system complete between Earth and certain Earth Colonies, most notable Mars. The issues may include colonization and colonial rule generally, asteroid mining, and and terraforming.  In our view the most important issue for a war of independence between Earth and Mars would have to be decades of success in terraforming Mars. It would be suicidal for a colony ( think corporate town(s) ) that was dependent on a mother planet for vital supplies to keep its atmosphere breathable and water supply up to par to start a war for independence. However, assuming that tarraforming meets with huge success on Mars and elsewhere, the narrative enters the realm of possibility. 

 The authors go beyond our present day view of military space activity in support of terrestrial conflict to outline why and possibly how human expansion into the solar system could lead to war between Earth and her colonies. 

 The book is easy to read with essay style chapters and mostly free of technical jargon. This is a fictionalized version of what could be the first real Space war, but it is instructional. We recommend it for the professional reading of members of the new SPACE FORCE. Lawyers studying space law. NASA administrators, senior Air Force Officers. It can be a bit pricey with some vendors charging more  $95 a copy. The publisher  is Lexington Books in Lanhan, MD.
  AMAZON BOOKS :https://www.ebay.com/itm/First-Space-War-How-the-Patterns-of-History-and-the-Principles-of-STEM-Will/353045823753?hash=item52332bc109:g:oJwAAOSw0jtekibQ Amazon is charging over $104 but watch for deals as times goes on including paper back versions and used books.

VIC'S PAL ARRIAS EXAMINES THE CHINA / ASIA EVOLVING SITUATION

http://www.vicsocotra.com/http: //www.vicsocotra.com/

http://www.vicsocotra.com/ From Home page scroll down. 
 We've said it before if you aren't reading your 'DAILY SOCOTTRA you are missing out on that rare commodity Wisdom / humor. If you read Vic/s biographical info you will find this paragraph:

"His last Government assignment was in a senior position at the Department of Health and Human Services, of all places, concentrating on support to the Public Health Emergency Preparedness mission; thus, his last active mission was not against the terrorists, but against SARS. He proudly wears the Public Health Service Meritorious Unit Commendation along with the National Intelligence Medal of Achievement, or would if he could find the ribbons". We can't think of a better background from which to monitor, write about and edit the evolving events of the C-3 Virus contagion devastating the world.

Reprinted with permission below is a fine analytical essay by Socottra contributor Arrias. AMERICAN ADMIRALTY BOOKS RECOMMENDS THE SCOTTRA DAILY FOR NAVAL AND MARITIME PROFESSIONALS, HISTORY BUFFS, AND THE GENERAL PUBLIC. 

Arrias

China - Asia - Reborn?

There are a great many details, but the essence of it seems to be this:

The first victim was a researcher in a lab in the city of Wuhan, in central China. The virus began to spread. China - that is, the Chinese government - that is, the Chinese government acting under the implicit (and perhaps explicit) orders of Emperor Xi, tried to hide the fact of the virus from the outside world. They succeeded initially, and caused thousands more to die - that’s the considered opinion of a wide range of authorities - and caused untold trillions of dollars in economic loss. 

Beijing has since repeatedly resorted to lies. To date more than 100,000 world wide have died. We can assume tens of thousands more will die as a result of the world wide economic recession (and certainly a depression in many countries) that will follow.

Inside China the lies continue; how many people contracted the virus? The Chinese number stands firm well below 100,000, with fewer than 4,000 dead. The numbers are certainly fabrications. How many people have or had COVID 19? We’ll probably never know. Nor will we know how many died. One estimate is that, as of more than a week ago, roughly 100,000 had died in China.

We do know that more than 7,000 bodies were cremated in just a few crematoria in Wuhan in a several week period in March. We know that cell phone accounts of millions of people have been cancelled, presumably those who are related to or know of the correct number of infected and dead. We know that hundreds of thousands (probably well more than a million) of citizens of Wuhan and the surrounding area traveled outside of Wuhan and Hubei province after the virus began spreading; that means the virus spread to the rest of China – no matter what Beijing says. And we know that bloggers in China keep reporting (and having their service cut off) that the real situation in China is vastly different, and worse, than what is being reported.

Meanwhile, Beijing has tightened controls on the media, and has continued to pump large amounts of money into the economy (far larger than normal. So has the US, but we’re quite open about it). The Chinese are hiding, as best they can, any accurate numbers about their economic performance.

Anger and frustration inside China continues to mount. The anxiety generated by concerns over the virus itself have been compounded by the belief the government in Beijing is suppressing the truth about the virus and about treatments and care for the sick.

An economy with grave structural weaknesses, open political dissent in Hong Kong, a virus that may still be uncontrolled in certain Chinese cities – all compounded by a government that’s seen as hiding the truth from an already troubled population.

These are not circumstances that allow those at the top to sleep well at night.

Autocracies and oligarchies like an appearance of law and legitimacy but in reality that’s a veneer; in the end they fall back on power – the police state. China – and Emperor Xi – have developed that to a fine edge over the past decade or so, and he now sits atop the largest, most sophisticated police – surveillance state in history. But that level of power and control can work against him – he has deputies, and the deputies want to keep their position, their power. What happens when they start feeling that they’re sitting on top of a “tiger” – a population increasingly frustrated with lies and oppression , angry at Beijing, angry at Xi, for covering up the virus in order to make himself look good.

And all this on top of a looming economic failure only made worse by that same virus and Beijing’s actions in covering it up.

What if one of the cliques at the “top of the pyramid” now see Xi as a direct threat to their staying on top as well? Might Xi’s ouster be a way to ameliorate the problem, to calm the anger of the mob, to throw fresh meat to the tiger?

If so, how might it happen? As a general rule, there are two ways for kings, dictators, and emperors to fall: either from an outsider – in which case everyone on the inside is at risk, or the insiders get rid of him themselves. While violent “palace coups” make for great operas and action movies – and it’s certainly possible.

Consider what happened to Nikita Khrushchev: plotting began months earlier, certainly by March 1964, inside a very small circle led by Leonid Brezhnev. On October 12th, 1964, while Khrushchev was on vacation in the Caucasus, Brezhnev held a meeting of the plotters, they agreed it was time to act; they then contacted Khrushchev and asked him to return to Moscow for a special meeting of the Praesidium. Khrushchev was vaguely suspicious that something wasn’t right, but traveled home and was greeted by his friend Gen. Semichastny, head of the KGB, who then arrested him. Two days later a meeting of the Praesidium and Central Committee and officially removed him from power and he “retired” to his dacha.

Perhaps Xi can hope for a similar fate…

The elites may be thinking about it – they’re idiots if they’re not. Real power, as Mao cautioned, “grows out of the barrel of a gun.” And while Xi controls the guns, he controls the guns through his minions. Are his minions getting antsy?

And let’s hope there’s been some thinking about this at the Pentagon and the State Department; that we have a plan in place – just in case – to provide some sort of regional stability during such a transfer of power.

And maybe, just maybe, an internal collapse would provide a chance for all those “others” who have been trampled on by the Chinese Communist Party, the Tibetans, the Mongols, the Uighurs, etc. Maybe we can even hope Communist China might break up into its component parts.

Maybe something good might come of this virus after all.

Perhaps folks are just being hopeful. But, it’s Easter after all, a time of infinite hope.

Copyright 2020 Arrias
http://www.vicsocotra.com

THE DRAGON IS DOING BUSINESS AS USUAL WHILE WE ARE INCAPACITATED BY C-19

Rethinking China

April 21, 2020 | Julio Loredo 

 The American Society for the Defense of TRADITION, FAMILY and PROPERTY has published an analytic article on the US. /:Western World's relationship with China. Surprisingly the most widely cited authority actually wrote in 1937, His predictions from the stand point of 1937 are amazingly accurate today . The Chinese are making use of "Soft Power" during the C-19 emergency while the U.S and. the West are struggling under the cloud of a massive epidemic. Our own intelligence has reason to believe that China (the Dragon) is also resumed nuclear weapons testing. There is one prediction that hasn't come true yet, that Chinese troops will eventually land on U.S. soil and force us into an unconditional surrender.  If we want to stop the Chinese power garb somewhere short of forcing us into an unconditional surrender we better rethink our relationship with the Dragon now. All American's should read this article RETHINKING CHINA. 

  

 The Dragon's recent behavior at sea predicts trouble when they move beyond orbital space.SEE: THE DRAGON'S INTENTIONS IN SPACE AND HOW THEY PARALLEL RECENT AND LONG AGO MARITIME HISTORY and SEA ALSO: 

A HELIOS RUEHLS , INC. WHITE PAPER: THE NEED FOR A SPACE FORCE 

USNI NEWS REPORTS ANOTHER SWARM ATTACK ON US VESSELS BY IRAN

VIDEO: Iranian Attack Boats Harass U.S. Navy, Coast Guard Vessels in Persian Gulf By: Megan Eckstein

In a recent article in the Naval Institute's on line publication "NEWS" Megan Eckstein wrote an article on the harassment and introduces some Navy videos.To reach the NAVAL INSTITUTE'S NEWS Click. This is not the first faux swarm attack against U.S. naval vessels by Iran but possibly the best documented. See Ms Eckstein's work at   

NAVAL INSTITUTE'S NEWS. See our earlier post on a recently past similar incident at https://americanadmiraltybooks.blogspot.com/2020/01/iran-sends-boat-swarm-to-trail-us.html

EDITOR'S NOTE: THERE ARE REPORTS THAT PRESIDENT TRUMP HAS CHANGED THE RULES OF ENGAGEMENT IN THE REGION ALLOWING U.S. NAVY VESSELS TO FIRE UPON SUCH SWARMS WITHOUT FIRST BEING FIRED UPON.. INITIAL SOURCES: POTUS ON TWITTER & MILITARY TIMES. 

 FROM MILITARY TIMES: President Donald Trump tweeted Wednesday that he has instructed the Navy to “destroy” any Iranian gunboats that harass American warships at sea.
April 15, 2020 5:45 PM • Updated: April 15, 2020 11:33 PM 

UPDATE 4/26/2020: Iran' military has ordered their naval militia  units to ~"attack and sink  USN vessels upon discovery in their region. 

A Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy (IRGCN) vessels conducted unsafe and unprofessional actions against U.S. Military ships by crossing the ships’ bows and sterns at close range while operating in international waters of the North Arabian Gulf. U.S. forces are conducting joint interoperability operations in support of maritime security in the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations. US Navy photo.

 SOURCE: U.S. NAVAL INSTITUTE

  https://news.usni.org/2020/04/15/video-iranian-attack-boats-harass-u-s-navy-coast-guard-vessels-in-persian-gulf?utm_source=USNI+News&utm_campaign=f8628e7a7d-USNI_NEWS_DAILY&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_0dd4a1450b-f8628e7a7d-230407705&mc_cid=f8628e7a7d&mc_eid=63ae43d70a

NOTES:: HAS CHINA RESUMED NUCLEAR TESTING

IS THE DRAGON TESTING NUCLEAR WEAPONS AGAIN?

 US LOADING OF A TEST TUNNEL IN NAVADA CIRCA 1950s

THE US "MIKE TEST" 1952

 The suspicion began when U.S. signals intelligence noticed that a frequently monitored Chinese transceiver appeared to be going periodically silent, The stations going periodically silent are in  Chinese territory and  designed to detect radioactive emissions and seismic tremors. Adding to the concerns there is high tempo of activity at China’s Lop Nur test site, extensive excavations at the site,appear to be underway, and apparent possible  use of special chambers to contain explosions..Could this indicate a resumption of testing, or test preparation for low yield nuclear weapons testing at the Lop Nur site? The activity monitored suggest low yield nuclear weapons testing..in violation of agreements reached over the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, of 1996 . However, as alarming as the possibilities are the 1996 accord allows a range of activities to assure the safety and reliability of nuclear weapons. Such permissible activities. include experiments involving fissile material, as long as the experiments don’t produce a nuclear-explosion.. So why is the Dragon refurbishing explosive containment chambers? In all fairness it should be noted that neither China nor the United States have ratified the 1996 accords, but both have agreed to abide by the provisions of the accords.

 GRABLE EVENT - Part of U.S. Operation Upshot-Knothole, was a 15-kiloton test fired from a 280-mm cannon on May 25, 1953

 This new development could also be a ruse to affect upcoming global nuclear weapons discussions requested by the Trump Administration.“The single most effective way to resolve concerns about very low-yield nuclear explosions according to a number of arms control experts  and enforce compliance with the 1996 Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty is for the U.S and China to ratify the treaty . If China actually complied, the International community would have the option of demanding intrusive, short-notice on-site inspections. of such facilities.. The Dragon will  probably double the size of its nuclear stockpile over the next decade according to some experts within the U.S.Defense Intelligence Agency. 

China may, and we put emphasis on "may":, be secretly conducting nuclear weapons tests . If so these tests would be  tests with very low explosive power despite Beijing’s assertions that it is strictly adhering to an international accord banning all nuclear tests,. These would be field grade weapons .similar to the nuclear cannons we once had deployed in Korea. Unlike their intercontinental nuclear missile stock pile such weapons are more aimed at neighbors resisting Chinese territorial ambitions.than a direct threat to the United States unless we decide to intervene on some Dragon aggression with one of our regional allies.  China’s arsenal is estimated to be about 300 nuclear warheads. , By contrast  the U.S. has a stockpile of about 3,800 nuclear warheads compatible with short range and long range delivery systems.  that could be carried on long-range and short-range delivery systems, However,  only an estimated  1,700 are deployed. 

The Trump, Administration is undertaking a comprehensive review of U.S. China relations. These latest moves by the Dragon are likely to add to existing strains over China’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic, its militarization of the South China Sea and trade disputes..