Friday, February 15, 2019

THE LATEST ON THE NOW OVER DUE (2015) NEW NICARAGUA TRANS OCEANS CANAL.

THE PANAMA CANAL EXPANSION WAS SPARKING CONSTRUCTION OF BIGGER SHIPS AND A RACE AMONG AMERICAN PORTS TO IMPROVE INFRASTRUCTURE TO ACCOMMODATE  THEM. BUT NOW AT BEST "Nicaragua’s US $50b rival to Panama Canal ‘going ahead slowly’ as funding evaporates and Chinese investor keeps low profile" Full Article in: South China Morning Post  (2018)

File:The Panama Canal -- The Great Culebra Cut.jpg
The Original Panama canal Under Construction, The Great Culebra Cut July 4, 1885 image from Wikipedia Commons 

 In  January of 2013 we introduced our readers for the first time to our analysis of the potential ramifications of a new Panama Canal.  On August 22, 2013 we updated you a bit on the continuing development.   An improved Panama Canal had been under construction for some time at the  time of our reporting and was slated for completion in 2015, that of course didn't happen. The new canal if ever completed will feature vastly improved channel depths, channel widths, lock dimensions  and over head clearances rendering obsolete the shipping term "PANAMAX" to describe ships specifically designed to transit the canal. Once completed the "new canal" will pass much larger ships faster than the "old" canal. But, this Chinese sponsored project seem to have run out of Chinese money. The Nicaragua canal authority doesn't have the money to build the canal and never will if dependent on the Nicaragua economy but they are continuing work at a snail's pace while trying to find new sponsors in China. The Canal authority is also starting to meet environmental movement resistance at home. We link you to the full story from the SOUTH CHINA MORNING POST  on progress into 2018.  Below you can read in excerpts from our August 2013 report about the impact of such a canal on US shipping, especially along the Gulf Coast if the canal is ever built.  As we look at progress through 2019 the question seems to be will it ever be built? 

 No one is quite sure what this means for U.S. Gulf Coast/ East Coast trade with the Pacific region. But its pretty certain that the only ports that can accommodate such giant ships are going to benefit. Baltimore and New Orleans share a lively coast wise trade with each other and compete somewhat for various elements of foreign trade. Both have been able to handle some of the largest bulk carriers in the coal and grain trade but most of their general cargo facilities are built to "PANAMAX" standards. Other U.S. Ports have never built the infrastructure for the larger bulk carriers and have been competing as general cargo ports largely based on "PANAMAX" engineering. The looming completion of the "new canal" was spurring a spending and construction race in a number of U.S. ports to improve infrastructure to handle these larger ships when they come. Unfortunately these are, in too many cases, highly speculative investments. No one knows over time how the new trade picture will emerge. History and maritime economics however tell us that the decision to utilize a particular port may begin with the verification that your ship can navigate the channel and fit at the available berths, but there is a lot more to it than that. Interested in more details? The links below are to more recent press and trade journal coverage.

Panama Canal expansion spurs railroads, ports to prepare for new business -Article from Progressive Railroading




Tuesday, February 5, 2019

BOOK REVIEW ; "THE GATHERING PACIFIC STORM"

An Analysis of U.S. China Strategic Competition In Military  Technological and Industrial Development by Tai Ming Cheung and Thomas G. Mahnken

 We again remind our readers that we are no longer an Amazon Portal or book merchant. That part of our business was killed as soon as the state of our incorporation elected a Democrat as Governor. He proposed a sales tax on Internet sales and Amazon closed shop on portals in our state. We do provide a link to Amazon for books we review for the convenience of our visitors but remind you that if your state charges sales tax for on line purchases you must report your purchases and remit the tax to your state treasury. In most states that have such taxes you report on line purchases on your state income tax return and remit your check with your tax return. American Admiralty Books draws no income from sales of any sort on line. To view this publication on Amazon click here: https://www.amazon.com/Gathering-Pacific-Storm-Technological-Communications/dp/1604979453/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1549403887&sr=1-1&keywords=THE+GATHERING+PACIFIC+STORM+by+CHeung+and+Mahnken

There is a growing military technological competition between the United States and China. This growing competition is an integral part a larger strategic contest. To understand this complicated military technological competition requires an in depth understanding of the military, political, economic , drivers behind the phenomena. This military technological rivalry evolves out of the larger geostrategic and geo-ecomoic competition involving the "Middle Kingdom's" desire to control the China Seas and their neighboring littoral states as virtually a Chinese lake and vassal islands. China is behind at the moment, in our opinion, in this technological race. But the United States is just starting to awaken to the fact that a race is on. This technological contest is just getting underway. We anticipate that it will grow rapidly and become more complex and intense over time. 

 We do see some similarities in this modern day conflict between near peer powers and the old "Cold War". We understand this conflict to be quite different in nature despite the surface similarities with the old "Cold War". The Cold war was primarily a contest between ideologies communism vs capitalism. The Soviet block had its allies or vassal states and the United States had its allies, but in the new contest the military and industrial , and commercial boundaries are blurred. The contest is taking place in a globalized interdependent economy. Geo-economic determinants are coming to the foreground and will make for some strange bed fellows. 

 The book is an anthology of sorts , a collection of essays by experts carefully selected and edited to address the military and industrial elements of the growing competition between the United States and China. The limitation of the work to these limited aspects of the competition works well for keeping the book readable and reasonably sized. But this is not the comprehensive all purpose examination of the subject. Probably no one volume would ever suffice. But we find it to be a highly useful and insightful work for this portion of the contest and at this stage of the evolution of the conflict. We highly recommend the work for journalists, political scientists (and their students), naval officers especially any junior officers with orders to the region or to the Naval Post Graduate school or War College. We also believe that Commercial maritime management may find the insights useful as would many people in the State Department. 

About $ 30 to $110 depending on hard cover , paper back or kindle editions new or used.. At our last check Amazon had a variety of editions in stock.  

If you have serious questions about ISM obligations and compliance contact our resident ISM expert via E-mail or phone
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William H. Toohey III AFNI
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Monday, February 4, 2019

INDIAN NAVY SCORES ANOTHER FIRST

THE TIGERS JUST MOVED THEIR NAVY CLOSER TO THE FRONT RANK OF THE WORLD'S NAVIES

Image result for Images of British JFD transportable submarine rescue unit Photo from report of sea trials in the Indian Ocean contained in the ASIA PACIFIC DEFENSE REPORTER Click to read the complete coverage. 

TIGERS TAKE DELIVERY OF THEIR FIRST STATE OF THE ART SUBMARINE RESCUE UNIT. 

Related image

We refer to the Indian Navy as "The Tigers". We greatly admire them. Their rise from third world status to one of the top five navies in the world reminds us of something that Ginger Rogers once said. Referring to her dance partnership with Fred Astaire, Ginger Rogers once noted that fans were so astounded by Fred's talent but hardly noticed that she did all of the same moves"backward and while wearing high heels". The Tigers have come from a long way behind in a short time and from a disadvantaged start. Their Navy in recent years is becoming standardized and receiving some first rate equipment but they obtained first rate skills long before obtaining first rate equipment. Using craft and other equipment of opportunity gathered from whatever source they could afford at the time, the tigers quickly mastered such first rate naval skills as air craft carrier operations, launching missiles from submerged submarines, and underway replenishment. These are skills found in the American Navy, British Navy and as yet not fully mastered by the major naval power wanna bes of Russia and China. Now the Tigers add another critical skill to their inventory and some brand new state of the art equipment.

 In Mumbi on December 12, 2018 the Tigers took delivery of the first of two air transportable submarine rescue units. Each of their undersea rescue units is capable of transporting the mini sub's three man crew and up to 17 survivors per trip from a disabled submarine. Only a very elite group of navies have such capability. The Tigers are closing the gap; their skill set soon will be rivaled only by the US Navy. China will probably always have more ships than anybody but their skill sets are not too impressive. Russia is rebuilding their navy but shows none of the inspirational leadership of the Indian Navy. The Japanese have highly skilled sailors and excellent ships but limited public support for a fleet. Fortunately for the world the fastest up and coming high quality naval force belongs to the world's largest democracy. We don't worry about India's neutrality. They are capable of enforcing the International law of the Sea in the Indian Ocean and are trust worthy to do so. The U.S. has never asked for anything other than our due under the International Law of the Sea. The Tiger will be a fair and effective enforcer of the International Law of the Sea we have no need to try to pull them into an entangling alliance. We should give them every encouragement to become exactly what they are becoming, a first rate sea power and reliable guardian of international order in their primary area of responsibility. We congratulate the Tigers and note again to their commissioned corps the fact that they could never have advanced so far and so fast without a truly cracker jack petty officer corps who have been able throughout their entire era of craft of opportunity operations to adapt or maintain almost anything they could find to press into service. This petty officer corps will do a great job as the service enters into a new era of purpose built ships and equipment. We hope in the coming years the Tiger Navy will find ways to enhance the status and career satisfaction of their petty officer corps. 

 As we say in Louisiana to our flagship state university football team, we say to the Indian Navy: 
                                                    GO TIGERS! 

Wednesday, January 30, 2019

ILLEGAL ALIEN VOTER FRAUD IN TEXAS AND THE RUSH TO SUPPRESS THE NEWS OF IT

Flag of Texas.svg

TEXAS STATE FLAG PD

In Texas the Attorney General Ken Paxton found something startling after an 11 month investigation. He recently announced that his investigation uncovered 95,000 non citizens on the Voter rolls. Additional analysis indicates that about 58,00 of these have voted in at least one Texas election between 1996 and 2018.

 President Trump, long concerned with the impact of illegal aliens on the civil rights and safety of Americans picked up on this information and tweeted a one line condensed version of the facts we just described for you above. His tweet drew cricket noises in the main stream media. They certainly didn't want to carry this story before they could discredit it. Enter the Internet verification services to quickly lable the story "FALSE". 

EXAMPLE: 
 Politifacts , claiming to be an internet fact checker of reliability and neutrality cited Donald Trump's tweet directly , ignoring the sources for his statement and promptly labeled the President's one line  tweet; " 58,000 non-citizens voted in Texas, with 95,000 non-citizens registered to vote", FALSE. Of course they didn't label the source , the investigation of the Texas Attorney General "false", just the President's one line description. Their reasoning ? Their own convoluted logic applied to a cautionary note by the Texas Secretary of State that the figures are somewhat tentative. Illegal voting is a felony in Texas and there have been a number of prosecutions of late , some involving illegal aliens.  There will be more. But the findings of the Attorney General have to be turned over to county Registrars of Voters for action. It is doubtful that Texas will be able to locate and prosecute the tens of thousands of fradulent registrations and actual votes involved. Neither does Texas have the jail space to incarcerate such a large criminal population. However,  the county officials are empowered to review the cases and remove suspected fradulent voters from the poles. 

 The voters so removed have an appeals process. Would anyone care to bet how many ultimately removed voters will expose themselves by making use of that appeals process? Would anyone care to speculate on how long the cleaning of the Texas polls of illegal alien voters will take? Now that the lapdogs of the main stream media posing as "fact checkers" on the Internet have labeled the President's one line summary of events "FALSE" how much coverage do you think this discovery of massive illegal alien voter fraud will get as the several years go by that it will take to cover the clean up? How many of the previous Texas trials for voter fraud were covered even in the local electronic media much less the national media. 

 The rush to selective and convoluted judgement by the Internet so called fact checkers in this case illustrates how the MSM and the Internet elites collude to assure that nothing gains credence or much exposure that doesn't support their basic narrative which is simple: Republicans are Evil, come take shelter on the Democrat's plantation and get free stuff. 

Sunday, January 27, 2019

THE GREAT CATFISH EXPLAINS THE LATEST THREAT ON THE SOUTHERN BORDER

MEXICAN INTERESTS OWN SIGNIFICANT PORTIONS OF US PROPERTY ABUTTING THE SOUTHERN BORDER.

Namazu, Former Japanese Demigod and Political Commentator

GREETINGS BIPEDS! 
 The Democratic party now in charge of the House of Representatives is determined to allow unlimited numbers of aliens legal and illegal in via the U.S. Southern Border. Why? Ask yourself by what margin did Hillary win the California popular vote? Wasn't it by about two million votes? Haven't we seen Immigration and Naturalization Service estimates of about two and half million illegal aliens in residence in California? California requires no proof of citizenship to issue a drivers license. Yet they have a motor voter law and virtually every municipality is a sanctuary city. Hillary's winning portion of the so called "popular vote" was equal to about three fourths of the illegal population. If an American crosses from California into Mexico illegally they face eight years in jail. If any one, be they Mexican, Islamofacists Iranian, or Honduran, crosses from Mexico into the United States at worse they get sent back, and at best they are given welfare and the ability to vote for the democrats who sustain the efforts of the Reconquista.

 The Reconquista is real and has been going on since before former Mexican President Vicente Fox literally declared it. The Reconquista is simply territorial aggression by unarmed means. Plain and simply Mexico wants Texas, New Mexico, Arizona, California, Nevada, and Colorado as their northern most territories. They can't take them by force of arms so they will do it by infiltration and demographic change. By taking advantage of our lax immigration and border control laws and flooding these areas with selected peoples they eventually gain the upper electoral hand. Then they hold a plebiscite for independence or affiliation with Mexico and send it to the United Nations. It's a certainty that the anti U.S. General Assembly will pass a resolution recognizing the sovereign right of the newly created natives to leave the U.S. Union. 

 Of course if the Democrats don't hold both houses of Congress and the White House the U.S. will use its veto on the Security Counsel. It won't matter. The desire of the new natives will be on the global public record and world opinion will be quickly mustered up against the "imperial" United States. States rights will be asserted as Spanish is made the official state language and English is banned. State constitutions based on common law concepts will be rescinded and Civil Code constitutions adopted in their stead, but with a lot less concern for conformance with the U.S. Constitution than is the case with Louisiana. There will be no cooperation with Federal law enforcement as is the case in California now. The targeted states will slip into economic ruin comparable to the banana republics and the the rest of the nation will become tired of the expense of propping them up. After a period of de facto independence the targeted states will be relinquished. This is how the Reconquista works. Its real and its in progress. 

 The nation was quite aware of the Reconquista danger a decade ago but the events after 9/11 turned our attention to infiltration by Islamic elements determined to establish Sharia law in the U.S. and over turn the constitution. These forces have met with some success in places like Michigan where they now run at least one city council and have formally introduced Islamic law into dispute resolution and elected Islamofacists to Congress.  Islamofacists hate liberal ideas but support the democratic party for the time being as the party facilitates the Islamification of America in the hopes that the Democratic party "big tent idea" will evolve into a new constituency. Poor fools, neither the Reconquista forces nor the Islamofacists are ever going to follow the limousine liberal party leadership. Once they have real power the limousine liberal set will be the first to the firing wall or the pit for stoning along with the gay and transgender folks who think they have something to fear from Christians who have no "holy book"mandate to harm anyone , quite the opposite. 

 So down on the Southern Border where people have the common sense to fear the Reconquista the people are building the wall while the Democrats obstruct all government efforts. The people are building on private property that borders the international border and have been raising about $1 million every day and half. But not trusting the untrustworthy government they are building it themselves. You won't get any information about this effort in the main stream media because it goes against their narrative. But you can read about it and find direct links to the efforts here:   https://americanadmiraltybooks.blogspot.com/2018/12/we-people-can-build-wall-even-with.html.

 One of the things that we are learning as we monitor the people's efforts to defend themselves because the Democrats block all efforts by the federal government to do that job is quite alarming. 
Mexican nationals own quite a bit of U.S. land adjacent to the Mexican border. Private interests can't complete a fence or wall without the use of imminent domain. If the Feds never get involved the Reconquista forces will leave big escape holes in the barrier. The Reconquista is skilled at using our own good intentions, kindness, and liberal laws against us and to further their unarmed conquest. They know we are not going to repel these invaders by force of arms. They use law fare against the United States and the United States is forced to play with one hand behind its back by the Democrats who want these open borders for their own power hungry but short sighted purposes. 

 We must resort to good physical border security which begins with effective physical barriers that enhance patrol and surveillance measures in short, "a wall" ( or fence, or barrier) and law fare.
Mexico will jail any American who enters Mexico illegally and the usual sentence is 8 years. Anyone entering the U.S. from Mexico at worse gets sent back, but more often than not gets temporary admittance and disappears from everything except the welfare roles , and drivers registrations in states like California with "motor voter laws". Illegal border crossing needs to be made a real felony as it is in most of the world.  It is time to put the blame for  all of the problems caused by out of control and mostly illegal immigration squarely on the responsible parties the Democratic party and the RINOS who all too often go along for the ride. 

 Support the Build The Wall Fund:   https://www.gofundme.com/thetrumpwall  and eliminate the Democratic party. If you are a democrat but don't want to live under either a Spanish Civil Code or Islamic law but you can't stand Republicans....re register independent! Walk off that Democratic Party plantation now for the your own sake and that of your children. The constitution is silent on the role of political parties. Why tolerate one hell bent on your own destruction? Make any and all parties work for your vote. Change to independent registration now, donate to and vote for the candidates of your choice.   

Tuesday, January 22, 2019

A U.S. COURT HAS APPROVED TRANSGENDER TROOP RESTRICTIONS. THE GREAT CATFISH EXPLAINS









Wednesday, January 9, 2019

THE DRAGON HAS LANDED ON THE FAR SIDE OF THE MOON






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The "dark" side of the moon, as photographed from NASA’s Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter. The Dragon's Chang’e-4 has landed inside the darker patch near the south pole.Image by NASA

A TECHNOLOGICAL REPORT AND POLITICAL ANALYSIS BROUGHT TO YOU BY HELIOS RUEHLS, INC. 

 
 China recently landed an unmanned vehicle on the dark side of the moon. That side has been seen from orbit many times but this is the first roving vehicle known so far to touch down specifically to explore the "dark side". The "dark side" actually does get some sunlight but always faces away from earth. The mission may be useful from a geological viewpoint in that it may help illuminate the origins of the moon, and provide some hints as to how and where mineral mining might be profitable. The lander is named the Chang'e-4 for a moon goddess of Chinese mythology. The unmanned lander mission illustrates that China has advanced in space far enough to land vehicles on the moon. Space experts predict that the lunar explorer, a useful mission in its own right is a part and parcel of China's intended manned moon mission. If the Chinese land men on the moon any time soon theirs will be the first manned moon landing in roughly 50 years. 

 A Chinese moon landing is troublesome to contemplate. First, the Chinese performance in the South China Sea indicates a serious disregard for established international law. While the US was the first manned mission to land on the moon  we made it very clear that we made no territorial claims on the moon and that no single nation should make territorial claims anywhere in the solar system. The US went at its own expense but stated they went for "all mankind". The dragon doesn't work that way. Their claims in the South China Sea extend even into the established territorial sea of the Philippines and they have trespassed and even established artificial islands in the recognized exclusive economic zones of their neighbors. It should be cause for alarm that China may soon be landing men on any moons or planets within the solar system. 
 
 Some years ago we drew parallels between admiralty law and space exploration concerning outlying satellite territories. We think that as the only inhabited planet in the solar system we have an exclusive right to develop the other planets. But the United States sees this as a right of mankind, the planet Earth in a collective sense, not a new colonialism to be carried out in competition by the planet's nation states. Here is how we saw it a few years ago, and we still see it that way. And we still see the Dragon on the world oceans as a "claim jumper" and fear their attitude once they become accomplished space travelers: 
 

"The battle over the open versus the closed seas likely parallels any existing order in space. One of the first precepts of maritime international law is that the sea beyond territorial waters is a common highway open to all on "innocent passage".  Where territorial waters enclose or infringe on international straits and passages linking the seas, an international servitude exists, giving ships of all nations a right of innocent passage. Adjacent coastal states also have various exclusive rights by way of the Outer Continental Shelf Convention and the most recent "Law of the Sea Convention"to regulate certain fisheries and exploit bottom resources, especially mineral resources out to about 200 miles from shore varying a bit with circumstances. But beyond 12 miles from shore all ships have the right of innocent passage. Beyond the various Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZs) the sea surface, the water column, and the bottom and subsurface bottom are legally in the international "commons". This concept of "freedom of the seas" was not adopted automatically and is still fought by some nations today. Wars were fought over the issue and may be fought again. However the logic of freedom of the seas seems settled and irrefutable. The commerce between nations is carried on the seas. Without freedom of the seas the global economy is impossible to maintain. The vast seas which once separated cultures now unite them. It is likely that the same logic was long ago applied in space if older space faring cultures exists, especially if there are numbers of them. The likely first rule of space is that it is regarded as a common highway open to all.

 The Second likely rule of space is similar to the modern maritime concept of the Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ)  and some ancient Polynesian concepts concerning uninhabited islands. Many , if not most of the islands of Polynesia are simply too small, too low lying, or lack sources of fresh water and were labeled by the European explorers as "uninhabited". But actually these out lying islands with no permanent human inhabitants were in fact owned, tended,and  were important food sources for Polynesian societies living sometimes several days sail away on larger fresh water endowed islands. The people of the larger permanently inhabited islands would visit the out lying islands to harvest coconuts, fish including tending saltwater ponds created as a form of aquaculture, and plant, tend, and harvest other crops. The truth was that the larger islands could not support their human populations without these additional crop lands and fishing grounds. One of the reasons we will push out into our solar system is that our ever expanding population on this planet needs the additional resources. So a probable second rule of any interstellar legal regime is that in any planetary system with intelligent life on any one planet, the inhabitants of that planet have the exclusive legal right to develop economically the out lying uninhabited planets. Apparently, if we give credence to astronaut reported UFO sightings, the right of innocent passage for all space faring civilizations remains. 

 A third probably sure bet is that in approaching anything like the port towns that Columbus saw on the Mayan coast, there will be a regular routine and procedures for formal entry with due notice to the authorities. If we ever find anything looking remotely like a space port we'd better hang well back and attempt to establish contact before attempting to enter or even draw close.. "


 This latest Chinese space mission illustrates even more space capability than that suggested by simply a planetary landing. Communications are difficult on the far side of the moon for mission controllers. Before landing the lunar probe the Chinese put a communications satellite in orbit around the moon to facilitate their communications with their probe. The Chinese are doing things now that the United States did in the 60s and 70s, but their achievements will seem far more impressive since we haven't stunned the world in space in decades. Many adults today weren't even born in the 60s and 70s. The Chinese reruns will look like something out of the future vice the past. The dragon is in space to stay and they will have no qualms about bringing the outer planets into the orbit of the "Middle Kingdom". We are living the Chinese curse; "May you live in interesting times".

man wearing white top using MacBookYou may have noticed that we went over a month 
with no visible work on this blog. We lost our dashboard and all  the King's horses 
and all the King's men couldn't put it together again. But IT Tech Joshua Falgout did.
 If you need a cracker jack IT tech in the New Orleans/ Baton Rouge area 
phone Joshua Falgout at 318 331 7843

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