"Environmentalists" Are Up And Destruction Could Again Be Nigh!
Updated 2/16/2020
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Image courtesy McCLELLAN-KERR ARKANSAS RIVER NAVIGATION SYSTEM
WATERWAY FACT SHEET: http://www.aopoa.net/history/facts.htm
The American River Navigation System of towboats and barges delivers more cargo in a single day than all of the steamboats collectively in the nineteenth century. The system is incredibly fuel efficient and offers serious competition to rail and truck transport for thirty three American states. Of course the competition is for time insensitive cargoes but the other forms of surface transport must compete. The towboat and barge system where available influences rail and truck rates that are measurably lower in those areas where all three forms compete. The most important commodities that all three modes compete over are bulk commodities such as grain, petroleum products including chemicals, construction aggregates, and coal. Historically coal has been a very important cargo source supporting the towboat and barge sector. Unfortunately for the American inland water transport industry, our "inland merchant marine", coal use is on the decline internationally.
The declining market for Appalachian coal is causing some economic distress among those carriers who specialize in open hopper barge operations on the Ohio River System. The decline in coal cargoes places downward pressures on freight rates, upward pressures on costs and downward pressures on profits. The decline in coal usage appears to be a long term situation that is affecting not only the transporters but the producers. Coal producer Murray Energy has laid off about twenty percent of its work force in 2016 The ecologically driven reduction in coal consumption has been force multiplied by falling prices for cleaner natural gas. It was estimated in 2015 that by 2016 natural gas will generate about fifty percent of American electricity,. IN 20 18 that prediction appeared conservative. The 2019 figures aren't in yet. In 2010 the percentage was thirty percent. However, the Department of energy forecasts that coal's prices would stabilize by the end of 2015 somewhere between $68 to $87 per ton while natural gas is forecast to stabilize at around $3 or higher for comparable units in terms of BTUs. In the long term the DOE forecasted that the drop in coal consumption would level off and that new mines east of the Mississippi would make up for some permanently lost production in the Appalachian region.In 2020 we see that hasn't happened on a large scale yet..
In the mean time Ohio River operators have to tighten their belts and the government and the public have to look at the situation sensibly and with some wisdom or we will repeat the loss of navigability that happened in the last few years in the Missouri River System. Before the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers started creating navigation and flood control structures on the Missouri River much of the system was a dry gulch in mid summer and a raging muddy torrent in Spring. After the construction of locks and dams the Missouri became a series of fairly stable "pools', lake like impoundments deep enough for commercial navigation and beneficial to fish and wild life. Bald Eagles began to thrive on the pool shores and fish proliferated creating a viable and growing sport fishing industry. After decades of both navigational improvement and environmental enhancement severe drought struck the Missouri valley. Grain cargoes, the mainstay of the Missouri River barge trade fell way off. River levels fell and the upper pools had to release some water to lower levels to sustain navigation. Shorelines spread farther out into the pools as the pools shrank. Recreational marinas suffered , the sport fishing industry declined. Farmers who had depended on the river for grain transport were going broke not from the unavailability of competitively priced transportation but from lack of a crop. The sport fishing industry demanded that the Corps of Engineers cease and desist releasing water to support navigation, for a system that temporarily had no cargo. Eventually the tree hugging fish kissing crowd managed to convince the Corps of Engineers to amend their system management plan to generally preclude water releases to support navigation. This is the rule today.
The Missouri story is a useful example of how the modern environmental movement falls short of the marks set by the eclipsed conservation movement from the late nineteenth century and the earlier parts of the twentieth century when true wilderness preservation and multiple use infrastructure development was the rule. Multiple use infrastructure development often resulted , as was the case with the Missouri River in environmental enhancement. Developed as an inland navigational corridor the Missouri became an enhanced producer of fish and eagles. Today's progressive liberal led "environment movement" demands that rivers be "freed" of locks and dams. Environmental enhancement or mitigation in public works is seen as "interference with nature". Well excuse me, tree hugging, fish kissing liberal idiots ; but some of us refuse to get off the planet.
If we want to lead a civilized life we are going to have to farm and transport our produce. That is going to have an impact on the critters we share the planet with. The only sensible thing to do is to manage for multiple use and environmental enhancement / mitigation , the old conservation ethic. After the environmental movement of the 1960s added the word "environment" to our natural resources management lexicon, it did little else to improve matters , especially of late to enhance the environment. The Missouri River system is one of the most complete examples of the modern lunacy that results from letting liberals lead the "environmental movement". First they attacked the very economic reason by which our Congress parted with the tax payers dollars to build a system that became an enhanced environment. Having "won that battle" they now agitate for the removal of the infrastructure that created the enhanced environment which will result in a dramatic reduction in the bald eagle, and other fish eating raptor population, as well as migratory waterfowl, If any of you see the wisdom in wrenching away the leadership of the environmental movement from the libtards who want to destroy both our economy and environment, join me in proudly flying "Return to Conservation" bumper stickers and reexamining the older , original conservation movement which protected the environment while acknowledging that humans are part of the earth's biosphere and have a right to be here. The Conservation movement would applaud the creation of new wilderness areas, but would never build infrastructure without environmental mitigation or even enhancement. Once completed, things like locks and dams that gave economic benefits but also enhanced the bio diversity and wild life productivity of an area were to be managed "in perpetuity" ; not attacked economically then destroyed physically. Wake up America, liberals are not qualified to run anything. They have never created anything except national socialists parties such as the NAZIS. Let's take our land back, support CONSERVATION! Garden the earth don't evict the leading primates.
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Thursday, July 9, 2015
The Inland Waterways and Bulk Commodity Transport. Coal Movements A Major Cargo Source Is Down
Monday, July 6, 2015
Really, It's Always Shark Week
FISHING
THE DISCOVERY CHANNEL REMINDS YOU THAT SHARK WEEK IS AGAIN IN PROGRESS American Admiralty Books Safety & Privacy Policies
OF COURSE IF YOU SPENT THE JULY 4th WEEKEND ON THE CAROLINA COASTS YOU KNEW THAT!
YouTube has some fantastic features posted for related to this series where , as the trailers say; "If you were any closer, you'd be bait"
Wednesday, July 1, 2015
WAS OBAMA ELIGIBLE FOR THE OFFICE HE HELD
THE GREAT CATFISH ENTERS THE "BIRTHER" DEBATES
NAMAZU, STAR OF STAGE, SCREEN, RECORDING STUDIOS, FORMER ALBUM COVER MODEL
Greetings Bipeds!
For more than six years now I've been picking up on the fact that quite a few Americans think their immediate past President was ineligible for the office he held due to the Constitutional requirement that the American President be a "natural born American citizen". The official Democratic Party / Obama Administration line was that the President was born in Hawaii which of course would make him a "natural born American Citizen". I've been pretty much silent on the issue because frankly throughout their historical existence, remember I'm 3,000 years old so I've seen it all; I've never trusted the American Democratic party but couldn't believe they wouldn't thoroughly vet a candidate for President. So really for the last six years or so I've been ignoring the issue. It just seemed to me like sour grapes from certain elements of the American Republican Party.
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| Stolen from the American People? |
First there were claims that no one had ever seen his birth certificate, than an argument over producing one, then one was produced and arguments erupted over its authenticity. So I'm thinking "sour grapes". Then there was the claim that Mr. Obama attended a college while receiving aid designated for foreign students and claiming to have been a citizen of Kenya. However the pertinent University declined comment and the relevant agency did not produce any documents. Some copies of documents and photos were bandied about the Internet, but you really can't trust those. So as 2015 dawned with the same occupant in the White House I was pretty much of the opinion that while the present occupant is without doubt, in my opinion, the most incompetent man to ever occupy that edifice, he was at least legally entitled to be there. Being known for my insistence on basing my opinions on verifiable facts I was petitioned by a number of "Birther" readers to review the evidence and render an opinion. I value reader input and decided to do as requested. Below is my analysis.
First I have to reject all allegations such as the attending college while receiving financial assistance as a "foreign student" and claiming birth in Kenya. The documentary evidence offered isn't authenticated and the silence from the relevant university and federal agencies cast no light on the matter. The evidence for this charge is underdeveloped to say the least . The Birther crowd may be livid and hear the institutional silence on this issue as a deafening affirmation of guilt, but that's not good forensics. I have to stick with good forensics. Here is what is left of the "Birther arguments" as verifiable facts:
1. On the Birth Certificate released by the White House, the listed
place of birth is "Kapi'olani Maternity & Gynecological Hospital".
The hospital in fact, in 1961, the claimed year of Mr. Obama's birth ,was called "KauiKeolani Children's Hospital" and "Kapi'olani Maternity Home", Respectively. The name did not change to Kapi'olani Maternity & Gynecological
Hospital until 1978, when these two hospitals merged. How can this
particular name of the hospital be on a birth certificate dated in 1961
if this name had not yet been applied to it until 1978? A not illogical implication is that the document is the product of forgery by a rather young person connected with the Obama camp who did insufficient historical research before creating the document. Good forensic practice would allow the presumption of inauthenticity for the birth certificate presented by the White House. You can verify the sequence of the hospital name changes at any of the links below:
3. The birth certificate that the White House released lists Mr. Obama's father as Barack Hussein Obama, states his age as 25 and that he was born in "Kenya, East Africa". Unfortunately, in terms of documentational authenticity "Kenya" wasn't formed until 1963, prior to 1963 it was known as "the British East Africa Protectorate". You may verify that fact at: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kenya_%28http:/en.wikipedia..org/wiki/Kenya%29
That pretty much sums it up. Having rejected all of the arguable, or more difficult to verify allegations and sticking with only the obvious and easily verifiable I have to conclude that it appears more probable than not that the birth certificate of the immediate past occupant of the White House is a fraudulent document. I am aware that the American media has not challenged the Obama establishment on these facts. It would be pure speculation on my part if I were to assert that the media is negligent, incompetent, or in collusion in defrauding the American electorate. I do feel confident and well within the bounds of prudence and good forensic reasoning to suggest that the American public should demand explanations from both Obama and the American news media.
Thank you for your inquiries, I hope the above and foregoing adequately responds to your concerns.
Namazu
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Monday, June 29, 2015
A PERCENTAGE OF ACTIVITY TEST FOR JONES ACT SEAMAN STATUS
ALEXANDER v, EXPRESS ENERGY SERVICES OPERATING LP, (Federal Fifth Circuit 2015 Case: 14-30488 Document: 00513035192 Date Filed: 05/07/2015 http://www.ca5.uscourts.gov/opinions/pub/14/14-30488-CV0.pdf
Greetings Justice Brandeis here. It's been a while, but as you know I've been dead for quite some time, a sort of ultimate retirement and it really takes a corking good precedent making case to motivate me to write. As always thanks to my pal NAMAZU for the transcription services. Being dead, not just anyone can hear me. But I definitely received an earful while listening to oral argument in the Fifth Circuit Federal Appeals Court down in New Orleans recently. In a maritime personal injury case it is important early on to accurately determine the "seaman status" of the injured party. If someone working on the water is not a seaman their prayer for recovery from injury is pretty much going to be limited to that provided for in the Longshoremen and Harbor Workers Act. If an injured party is declared a "seaman" within the meaning of the Jones Act the initial potential for recovery may seem even more limited than in a Longshoremen and Harbor Workers Act case, but under the Jones Act a "Seaman" in aggravating circumstances may receive additional and even punitive damages.
The U.S. Gulf Coast offshore oil and mineral industry is serviced by many workers who spend significant time aboard vessels traveling to or from various drilling or production structures. These workers are engaged in the maintenance and repair of such structures. The vessels they commute on are generally utility craft serving as a sort of maritime version of the pick up truck and crew van. Other workers may serve aboard vessels such as lay barges which have as a mission of the vessel the creation, maintenance, or repair of offshore oil and mineral industry structures. The service technicians who live and work aboard these larger "industrial vessels" designed to have as a mission the construction, service, or repair of offshore structures are generally considered "Jones Act seamen" under the law as "crewmen" who contribute to the mission of the vessel. Those who are brought to work on crew boats and utility craft, and especially when they also perform similar services on occasion to shore based oil industry structures, often are not classed as Jones Act Seamen.
Traditionally, the seaman status test has two elements. First the claimant of seaman status must demonstrate that their duties contribute to the function of a vessel or the accomplishment of its mission. Secondarily the seaman status claimant must have an employment connection to a vessel or an identifiable group of vessels, in navigation.. In Alexander v. Express Energy Services the Federal Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals applied a test devised by the Federal Fifth Circuit as a partial indicator of seaman status. The test is meant for situations where technicians travel aboard crew boats and utility craft, often owned by their employer, operated by a a Coast Guard licensed boat operator, and where they occasionally handle mooring lines or other simple chores related to the maneuvering of the vessel. However, in these cases the worker's primary tasking is the service of the oil industry structures. In such cases the Fifth Circuit applied a percentage of time aboard test. The apparent Fifth Circuit rule was that if 30% of an employees time was spent aboard a vessel then Jones Act seaman status might be awarded for such workers. In the instant case (Alexander v. Express Energy. Supra) the Appeals court considered evidence demonstrating that the plaintiff employees spent about 65% of their on the job time working on a fixed platform without any need for or contact with an adjacent vessel. Based on the evidence that the employees did not spend 30% or more of their time aboard vessels the appeals court upheld an earlier fifth circuit trial court ruling granting the defendants a motion for dismissal. This case moves the percentage of time test developed at the Fifth Circuit trial level to acceptability at the appeals level making the concept much stronger precedent.
Well, stay dry and stay alive until next time.
Editor's note this and all previous comments by our lead legal analysts are in our ADMIRALTY LAW SECTION
OUR GHOSTLY LEGAL COMMENTATOR REPORTS ON A PRECEDENT MAKING CASE Updated 12/3/2015
American Admiralty Books Safety & Privacy Policies Greetings Justice Brandeis here. It's been a while, but as you know I've been dead for quite some time, a sort of ultimate retirement and it really takes a corking good precedent making case to motivate me to write. As always thanks to my pal NAMAZU for the transcription services. Being dead, not just anyone can hear me. But I definitely received an earful while listening to oral argument in the Fifth Circuit Federal Appeals Court down in New Orleans recently. In a maritime personal injury case it is important early on to accurately determine the "seaman status" of the injured party. If someone working on the water is not a seaman their prayer for recovery from injury is pretty much going to be limited to that provided for in the Longshoremen and Harbor Workers Act. If an injured party is declared a "seaman" within the meaning of the Jones Act the initial potential for recovery may seem even more limited than in a Longshoremen and Harbor Workers Act case, but under the Jones Act a "Seaman" in aggravating circumstances may receive additional and even punitive damages.The U.S. Gulf Coast offshore oil and mineral industry is serviced by many workers who spend significant time aboard vessels traveling to or from various drilling or production structures. These workers are engaged in the maintenance and repair of such structures. The vessels they commute on are generally utility craft serving as a sort of maritime version of the pick up truck and crew van. Other workers may serve aboard vessels such as lay barges which have as a mission of the vessel the creation, maintenance, or repair of offshore oil and mineral industry structures. The service technicians who live and work aboard these larger "industrial vessels" designed to have as a mission the construction, service, or repair of offshore structures are generally considered "Jones Act seamen" under the law as "crewmen" who contribute to the mission of the vessel. Those who are brought to work on crew boats and utility craft, and especially when they also perform similar services on occasion to shore based oil industry structures, often are not classed as Jones Act Seamen.
Traditionally, the seaman status test has two elements. First the claimant of seaman status must demonstrate that their duties contribute to the function of a vessel or the accomplishment of its mission. Secondarily the seaman status claimant must have an employment connection to a vessel or an identifiable group of vessels, in navigation.. In Alexander v. Express Energy Services the Federal Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals applied a test devised by the Federal Fifth Circuit as a partial indicator of seaman status. The test is meant for situations where technicians travel aboard crew boats and utility craft, often owned by their employer, operated by a a Coast Guard licensed boat operator, and where they occasionally handle mooring lines or other simple chores related to the maneuvering of the vessel. However, in these cases the worker's primary tasking is the service of the oil industry structures. In such cases the Fifth Circuit applied a percentage of time aboard test. The apparent Fifth Circuit rule was that if 30% of an employees time was spent aboard a vessel then Jones Act seaman status might be awarded for such workers. In the instant case (Alexander v. Express Energy. Supra) the Appeals court considered evidence demonstrating that the plaintiff employees spent about 65% of their on the job time working on a fixed platform without any need for or contact with an adjacent vessel. Based on the evidence that the employees did not spend 30% or more of their time aboard vessels the appeals court upheld an earlier fifth circuit trial court ruling granting the defendants a motion for dismissal. This case moves the percentage of time test developed at the Fifth Circuit trial level to acceptability at the appeals level making the concept much stronger precedent.
Well, stay dry and stay alive until next time.
Editor's note this and all previous comments by our lead legal analysts are in our ADMIRALTY LAW SECTION
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Friday, June 26, 2015
WHY KURDISH WOMEN FIGHT THE ISIS
"Her War: Women vs. ISIS" (RT Documentary)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uqI0a4VgEs8&feature=youtu.be Link restored 12/4/2015
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Here is the story of the Kurdish Women Soldiers who frighten the ISIS terrorists to death. They have learned to deal out death and per ISIS beliefs if one kills you, you go straight to hell. More power to you ladies! To watch the video on Youtube click HERE
Thursday, June 25, 2015
ISIS IN RUSSIA !
ISIS Declares Governorate in Russia’s North Caucasus
Region -
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Ihttp://understandingwar.org/?utm_source=ISIS+Declares+Governorate+in+Russia%27s+North+Caucasus+Region&utm_campaign=What%27s+Next+in+Syria%3A+A+Six+Month+Forecast&utm_medium=email#sthash.PKSGoMaR.dpuf
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Map CIA WORLD FACT BOOK
Important new article from the
INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF WAR:
American Admiralty Books Safety & Privacy Policies
Jun 23, 2015 - Harleen Gambhir
American Admiralty Books Safety & Privacy Policies
The INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF WAR has published a report indicating that Southern Russia is already under Islamic assault, and the only thing that has allowed Russian forces to not become strained in attempting to reclaim control of the region is that al Qaeda and ISIS are engaged in a civil war within the region to see who will dominate their new self declared Emirate. In other words Russia is not facing a clearly unified enemy in the region just yet, despite the fact that the region is clearly in Islamic inspired rebellion against Russia. We urge our readers to use one of the links to cross over to the INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF WAR to read this article in its entirety. You probab;ly won't be getting anything on this amazing and frightening development from U.S. net work news sources any time soon.
AMAZON'S RUSSIAN POLITICAL AND MILITARY READING COLLECTION
American Admiralty Books Safety & Privacy Policies -http://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/isis-declares-governorate-russia%E2%80%99s-north-caucasus-region
ISW assessed in early June 2015 that one of ISIS’s most likely courses of action during the Islamic holy month of Ramadan would be to declare a governorate in Russia’s North Caucasus. ISIS indeed announced the creation of a new governorate, called Wilayat Qawqaz (Caucasus) in the region on June 23, 2015, after several senior militants in the area pledged allegiance to ISIS.
Not so long ago we wrote a post on our worst nightmare, an Islamic state with a powerful navy. Basically we saw two scenarios where such a state and navy might emerge in the "near term future", such as by mid century. First we speculated that if Europe didn't get a grip on its immigration /Islamofascists aggression problem; France , Britain, the Netherlands and one or more of the Scandinavian countries could become Islamic states. The contributions of these states, thankfully still self governing, and democratic to the "NATO Navy", are substantial. If their naval forces fell into Islamic hands, there would be an instant and regionally (North Atlantic) powerful Islamofascists navy able to reach the U.S. to combine with our own internal 5th column Muslims to turn America into the kind of battle ground Syria and Iraq are today. The other even more scary scenario would be if the Russian Islamic minority ( a whopping 29% of the population today and growing) , took over Russia placing a powerful nuclear force as well as an invasion capable Navy in Islamofascists hands.
AMAZON'S RUSSIAN POLITICAL AND MILITARY READING COLLECTION
American Admiralty Books Safety & Privacy Policies -http://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/isis-declares-governorate-russia%E2%80%99s-north-caucasus-region
Ihttp://understandingwar.org/?utm_source=ISIS+Declares+Governorate+in+Russia%27s+North+Caucasus+Region&utm_campaign=What%27s+Next+in+Syria%3A+A+Six+Month+Forecast&utm_medium=email#sthash.PKSGoMaR.dpuf
CHINA's INVISIBLE FORCE IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA
HOW FAR WILL THE DRAGON SWIM? IS IT BREEDING UNDERWATER?
Updated 12/4/2015 American Admiralty Books Safety & Privacy Policies
Photo: USN
We recently reported that China has apparently slowed down or even halted their construction of artificial islands in the South China Sea. In that post we noted that we didn't really think it was an overture of peace with the Dragon's neighbors. Rather we believe the Dragon has built enough of these outposts to serve its purpose of wresting the exclusive economic zones of its neighbors and pocketing the potential revenues. Artificial islands are expensive to build. But they do lend a certain near credibility to Chinese claims of soverignity over the watery turf of neighboring states like the Philippines. Now we have to wonder, were the artificial islands in fact not ever part of a "lawfare" scheme to win in an international legal contest decided by an international tribunal? Perhaps the Dragon always intended to take the area by naval force? Perhaps the artificial islands are part of a quite different scheme that not only involves stealing the fisheries and offshore mineral rights of neighbors but also "pushing the U.S. Navy back to Pearl Harbor". What is happening or could be happening under water near these artificial islands claimed by China smacks of a naval war plan.
Photo USN
The Dragon has a growing fleet of nuclear propelled ballistic missile submarines. In addition to the economic reasons the Dragon always puts forth for wanting all of the South China Sea, and the Dragon;s bogus historical claims, it probably also wants a hideout for this strategic submarine fleet. In the waters near the artificial islands the Dragon may be constructing a deep water haven for its strategic submarine fleet, where a large portion of the fleet could avoid detection. The sea floor in much if the south China sea is characterized by underwater canyons, a perfect hideout for a submarine.
China's land grab in the South China Sea is expected to be a major bone of contention in upcoming meetings between the U.S. Secretary of State and Chinese Vice Premier Wang Yang. China is coming into the talks claiming that it has wound down its construction of artificial islands. This may be true and we might even see some willingness to make minor compromises with their neighbors like moving the line of their claims a little farther offshore of the Philippine main island beaches. Presently their claims virtually run right up the low water mark on some Philippine beaches. Nothing like the appearance of an olive branch and and an apparent cessation of obviously hostile activity to lull an incredibly inept U.S. administration into not looking too carefully at the Dragon's real objectives. We think they are trading almost meaningless concessions on their land grab to mollify a hair brained U.S. administration into not looking into the mouth of a trojan horse. The real goal is an undisturbed, if not undiscovered submarine base well out to sea from the Chinese mainland.
The U.S. goal of late has been solely focused on getting China to ease its reclamation efforts and its militarization of the artificial islands it has created. China now says its through building islands but intends to "develop those it has finished. " This literally gives China fortified naval installations and a major hidden submarine base smack in the middle of one of the world's busiest and important shipping lanes of vital interest to Japan and the U.S. West Coast trade. But going into the new talks the U.S. Secretary of State appears to have only one agenda, stop island construction. Thus our bogus administration gets an assured win that will be lauded by the U.S. lap dog media and this will all go down without mention of the submarine threat.
The South China Sea is bounded by Vietnam, China, Taiwan, Japan, the Philippines and Malaysia. The area is one of the world’s most important international shipping lanes. Under codified (UNCLOS) international law much of it is "international waters. Yet, China claims that it holds maritime rights to about 80 percent of the sea, and not as the usual international right of ways such as exclusive economic zones but as the territorial sea of China China's claim is vigorously contested the neighboring states and international shipping interests.
Beijing views the South China Sea as a strategic holding as it guards China’s southern flank. That flank includes a submarine base in Sanya, on China’s Hainan island. The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) has constructed underwater entrance ways there to quietly dock some of its submarines, including those that carry ballistic missiles. In recent years , China has built up a nuclear deterrence or attack capability in of lesser size than that of the United States or Russia. But its still enough to blow up the world. The Dragon's submarine program is a major part of that nuclear weapons program.. Because submarines can often avoid detection, especially with such obvious preplanning, they are less vulnerable to a first-strike attack than land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles or nuclear bombers.
At the moment, China’s JL2 submarine ballistic missiles can't reach the United States from the South China Sea. But the Dragon seeks to improve the range of those missiles in the near future. But their subs forward deployed many may be able to put the U.S. West Coast at risk from positions in the Pacific beyond what China calls the "First Island Chain". It is far easier a nuclear sub to slip away from an underwater haven hundreds of miles from the obvious Chinese submarine pens and reposition in the Pacific than to slip out of a mainland port undetected.
We actually seen this "submarine bastion" strategy before used by the Soviets during the Cold War. There are U.S. naval analysts who are convinced that the Chinese are adopting a submarine bastion strategy but who will not speak out forcefully due to administration opposition. There is no doubt that the goal of the Submarine bastion strategy is to position missile subs where their ordinance can reach the United States. China is waving the olive branch over the artificial islands for two simple reasons. First the Dragon wants to protect its submarine bastion. Second it wishes to convince the Philippines to not allow rotational U.S. armed forces into its territory. The utter incompetence of the U.S. Secretary of state and his boss will pretty much insure that the Dragons lair is safe. However the Philippines is not so willing to give in to the Dragon. They have recently begun to warm up to Japan, their invader and occupier in WWII in the hopes of mutual defense. Why would they throw out their long time friend the U.S. when we are bound by formal defense treaties and they are looking for allies? We don't see much coming out of these talks but bluster and a delay in the commencement of open hostilities. The Dragon is still swimming towards the Philippines and the U.S. continues asleep at the switch, but so latently powerful that the Dragon wants to approach slowly. Meanwhile back at the White House the administration works daily to further diminish the remaining power of the United States.
AMAZON'S CHINESE NAVAL READING COLLECTION
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Updated 12/4/2015 American Admiralty Books Safety & Privacy Policies
Photo: USN
We recently reported that China has apparently slowed down or even halted their construction of artificial islands in the South China Sea. In that post we noted that we didn't really think it was an overture of peace with the Dragon's neighbors. Rather we believe the Dragon has built enough of these outposts to serve its purpose of wresting the exclusive economic zones of its neighbors and pocketing the potential revenues. Artificial islands are expensive to build. But they do lend a certain near credibility to Chinese claims of soverignity over the watery turf of neighboring states like the Philippines. Now we have to wonder, were the artificial islands in fact not ever part of a "lawfare" scheme to win in an international legal contest decided by an international tribunal? Perhaps the Dragon always intended to take the area by naval force? Perhaps the artificial islands are part of a quite different scheme that not only involves stealing the fisheries and offshore mineral rights of neighbors but also "pushing the U.S. Navy back to Pearl Harbor". What is happening or could be happening under water near these artificial islands claimed by China smacks of a naval war plan.
Photo USN
The Dragon has a growing fleet of nuclear propelled ballistic missile submarines. In addition to the economic reasons the Dragon always puts forth for wanting all of the South China Sea, and the Dragon;s bogus historical claims, it probably also wants a hideout for this strategic submarine fleet. In the waters near the artificial islands the Dragon may be constructing a deep water haven for its strategic submarine fleet, where a large portion of the fleet could avoid detection. The sea floor in much if the south China sea is characterized by underwater canyons, a perfect hideout for a submarine.
China's land grab in the South China Sea is expected to be a major bone of contention in upcoming meetings between the U.S. Secretary of State and Chinese Vice Premier Wang Yang. China is coming into the talks claiming that it has wound down its construction of artificial islands. This may be true and we might even see some willingness to make minor compromises with their neighbors like moving the line of their claims a little farther offshore of the Philippine main island beaches. Presently their claims virtually run right up the low water mark on some Philippine beaches. Nothing like the appearance of an olive branch and and an apparent cessation of obviously hostile activity to lull an incredibly inept U.S. administration into not looking too carefully at the Dragon's real objectives. We think they are trading almost meaningless concessions on their land grab to mollify a hair brained U.S. administration into not looking into the mouth of a trojan horse. The real goal is an undisturbed, if not undiscovered submarine base well out to sea from the Chinese mainland.
The U.S. goal of late has been solely focused on getting China to ease its reclamation efforts and its militarization of the artificial islands it has created. China now says its through building islands but intends to "develop those it has finished. " This literally gives China fortified naval installations and a major hidden submarine base smack in the middle of one of the world's busiest and important shipping lanes of vital interest to Japan and the U.S. West Coast trade. But going into the new talks the U.S. Secretary of State appears to have only one agenda, stop island construction. Thus our bogus administration gets an assured win that will be lauded by the U.S. lap dog media and this will all go down without mention of the submarine threat.
The South China Sea is bounded by Vietnam, China, Taiwan, Japan, the Philippines and Malaysia. The area is one of the world’s most important international shipping lanes. Under codified (UNCLOS) international law much of it is "international waters. Yet, China claims that it holds maritime rights to about 80 percent of the sea, and not as the usual international right of ways such as exclusive economic zones but as the territorial sea of China China's claim is vigorously contested the neighboring states and international shipping interests.
Beijing views the South China Sea as a strategic holding as it guards China’s southern flank. That flank includes a submarine base in Sanya, on China’s Hainan island. The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) has constructed underwater entrance ways there to quietly dock some of its submarines, including those that carry ballistic missiles. In recent years , China has built up a nuclear deterrence or attack capability in of lesser size than that of the United States or Russia. But its still enough to blow up the world. The Dragon's submarine program is a major part of that nuclear weapons program.. Because submarines can often avoid detection, especially with such obvious preplanning, they are less vulnerable to a first-strike attack than land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles or nuclear bombers.
At the moment, China’s JL2 submarine ballistic missiles can't reach the United States from the South China Sea. But the Dragon seeks to improve the range of those missiles in the near future. But their subs forward deployed many may be able to put the U.S. West Coast at risk from positions in the Pacific beyond what China calls the "First Island Chain". It is far easier a nuclear sub to slip away from an underwater haven hundreds of miles from the obvious Chinese submarine pens and reposition in the Pacific than to slip out of a mainland port undetected.
We actually seen this "submarine bastion" strategy before used by the Soviets during the Cold War. There are U.S. naval analysts who are convinced that the Chinese are adopting a submarine bastion strategy but who will not speak out forcefully due to administration opposition. There is no doubt that the goal of the Submarine bastion strategy is to position missile subs where their ordinance can reach the United States. China is waving the olive branch over the artificial islands for two simple reasons. First the Dragon wants to protect its submarine bastion. Second it wishes to convince the Philippines to not allow rotational U.S. armed forces into its territory. The utter incompetence of the U.S. Secretary of state and his boss will pretty much insure that the Dragons lair is safe. However the Philippines is not so willing to give in to the Dragon. They have recently begun to warm up to Japan, their invader and occupier in WWII in the hopes of mutual defense. Why would they throw out their long time friend the U.S. when we are bound by formal defense treaties and they are looking for allies? We don't see much coming out of these talks but bluster and a delay in the commencement of open hostilities. The Dragon is still swimming towards the Philippines and the U.S. continues asleep at the switch, but so latently powerful that the Dragon wants to approach slowly. Meanwhile back at the White House the administration works daily to further diminish the remaining power of the United States.
AMAZON'S CHINESE NAVAL READING COLLECTION
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